مدرسة الاحتمالات

Boston Red Sox v Houston Astros

البداية: 2026-05-03 17:37 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Boston Red Sox 1–3 Houston Astros

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Boston Red Sox (المضيف)

التنبؤ 61.56%1.62السعر العادل
EV +1.58%
الأفضلية +0.957%
Kelly +2.43%
النمو +0.038%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.67%61.41%61.58%62.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.571.561.6566.67%63.75%64.10%60.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Houston Astros (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.44%2.60السعر العادل
EV -0.833%
الأفضلية -0.323%
Kelly -0.527%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.58

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.50%38.59%38.42%41.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.442.452.5843.48%40.92%40.82%38.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV +1.58%E +0.957%K +2.43%G +0.038%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -9.67%E -4.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 17:30
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV +0.348%E +0.213%K +0.552%G +0.002%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -10.44%E -4.48%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:30
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV +0.348%E +0.213%K +0.552%G +0.002%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -10.44%E -4.48%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:30
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:30
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:30
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:30
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:30
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:31
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:30
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:30
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:30
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:30
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:30
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -1.50%E -0.937%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -2.75%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 17:15
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.11%E -1.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -1.99%E -0.779%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 17:15
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -0.833%E -0.323%K -0.527%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -1.60%E -0.626%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-03 17:20
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -1.60%E -0.626%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-03 17:19
BetUS1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -2.75%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-03 17:20
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 17:10
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.35%E -2.13%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.22%E -0.474%K -0.775%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-03 15:14
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.35%E -2.13%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.52%E -3.58%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 15:55
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.14%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-03 15:20
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -3.52%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 17:30
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 15:00
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 17:25
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 17:25
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 17:30
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -5.06%E -2.05%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 17:30
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.98%E -2.89%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 17:10
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 15:00
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 15:05
DraftKings1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -4.29%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 17:25
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.06%E -2.05%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:29
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 15:05
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:35
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:10
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 17:25
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.99%E -0.779%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 16:05
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 17:35
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 15:20
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 15:00
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:25
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.52%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 15:20
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 14:59
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 17:30
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 17:35
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 17:30
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 17:30
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.42%E -4.23%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 17:25
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.66%E -5.10%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 15:20
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.66%E -5.10%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 17:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 62.21%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.79%-0.2%2026-05-03 17:30
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-05-03 17:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-05-03 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-05-03 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-05-03 16:10
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-03 17:35
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.9%2026-05-03 17:35
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-05-03 17:35
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-05-03 16:10
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%3.1%2026-05-03 17:35