La scuola delle quote

Boston Red Sox v Houston Astros

Inizio: 2026-05-03 17:37 UTC

Finale: Boston Red Sox 1–3 Houston Astros

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Casa)

Previsione 61.56%1.62quota equa
EV +1.58%
Vantaggio +0.957%
Kelly +2.43%
Crescita +0.038%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.67%61.41%61.58%62.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.571.561.6566.67%63.75%64.10%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Houston Astros (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.44%2.60quota equa
EV -0.833%
Vantaggio -0.323%
Kelly -0.527%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.50%38.59%38.42%41.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.442.452.5843.48%40.92%40.82%38.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV +1.58%E +0.957%K +2.43%G +0.038%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -9.67%E -4.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 17:30
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV +0.348%E +0.213%K +0.552%G +0.002%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -10.44%E -4.48%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:30
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV +0.348%E +0.213%K +0.552%G +0.002%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -10.44%E -4.48%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:30
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:30
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:30
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:30
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:30
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:31
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:30
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:30
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:30
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:30
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:30
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -1.50%E -0.937%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -2.75%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 17:15
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.11%E -1.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -1.99%E -0.779%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 17:15
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -0.833%E -0.323%K -0.527%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -1.60%E -0.626%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-03 17:20
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -1.60%E -0.626%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-03 17:19
BetUS1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -2.75%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-03 17:20
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 17:10
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.35%E -2.13%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.22%E -0.474%K -0.775%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-03 15:14
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.35%E -2.13%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.52%E -3.58%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 15:55
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.14%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-03 15:20
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -3.52%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 17:30
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 15:00
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 17:25
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 17:25
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 17:30
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -5.06%E -2.05%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 17:30
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.98%E -2.89%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 17:10
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 15:00
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 15:05
DraftKings1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -4.29%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 17:25
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.06%E -2.05%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:29
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 15:05
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:35
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:10
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 17:25
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.99%E -0.779%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 16:05
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 17:35
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 15:20
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 15:00
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:25
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.52%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 15:20
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 14:59
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 17:30
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 17:35
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 17:30
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 17:30
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.42%E -4.23%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 17:25
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.66%E -5.10%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 15:20
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.66%E -5.10%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 17:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 62.21%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.79%-0.2%2026-05-03 17:30
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-05-03 17:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-05-03 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-05-03 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-05-03 16:10
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-03 17:35
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.9%2026-05-03 17:35
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-05-03 17:35
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-05-03 16:10
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%3.1%2026-05-03 17:35