La escuela de los momios

Boston Red Sox v Houston Astros

Inicio: 2026-05-03 17:37 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 1–3 Houston Astros

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Predicción 61.56%1.62momio equitativo
EV +1.58%
Ventaja +0.957%
Kelly +2.43%
Crecimiento +0.038%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.67%61.41%61.58%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.571.561.6566.67%63.75%64.10%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Predicción 38.44%2.60momio equitativo
EV -0.833%
Ventaja -0.323%
Kelly -0.527%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.50%38.59%38.42%41.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.442.452.5843.48%40.92%40.82%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV +1.58%E +0.957%K +2.43%G +0.038%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -9.67%E -4.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 17:30
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV +0.348%E +0.213%K +0.552%G +0.002%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -10.44%E -4.48%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:30
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV +0.348%E +0.213%K +0.552%G +0.002%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -10.44%E -4.48%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:30
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:30
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:30
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:30
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:30
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:31
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:30
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.83%E -4.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:30
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:30
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:30
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.268%E -0.165%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:30
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -1.50%E -0.937%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -2.75%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 17:15
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.11%E -1.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -1.99%E -0.779%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 17:15
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -0.833%E -0.323%K -0.527%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -1.60%E -0.626%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-03 17:20
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -1.60%E -0.626%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-03 17:19
BetUS1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -2.75%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-03 17:20
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 17:10
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.35%E -2.13%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.22%E -0.474%K -0.775%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-03 15:14
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.35%E -2.13%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.52%E -3.58%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 15:55
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.14%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-03 15:20
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -3.52%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 17:30
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 15:00
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 17:25
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 17:25
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 17:30
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -5.06%E -2.05%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 17:30
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.96%E -2.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.98%E -2.89%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 17:10
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 15:00
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 15:05
DraftKings1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -4.29%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 17:25
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.06%E -2.05%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:29
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 15:05
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:35
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:10
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.58%E -2.95%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 17:25
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.99%E -0.779%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 16:05
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 17:35
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 15:20
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 15:00
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.19%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:25
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.52%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 15:20
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 14:59
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 17:30
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 17:35
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 17:30
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 17:30
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.42%E -4.23%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 17:25
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.66%E -5.10%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 15:20
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.66%E -5.10%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 17:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 62.21%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.79%-0.2%2026-05-03 17:30
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-05-03 17:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-05-03 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-05-03 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-05-03 16:10
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-03 17:35
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.9%2026-05-03 17:35
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-05-03 17:35
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-05-03 16:10
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%3.1%2026-05-03 17:35