Language:English
Boston Red Sox v Detroit Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Prediction 53.71%1.86fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.931%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.87%53.66%55.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.771.8359.88%56.78%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Detroit Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 46.29%2.16fair odd
EV +2.76%
Edge +1.24%
Kelly +2.26%
Growth +0.062%
assuming max odds 2.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.22%46.13%46.34%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.062.2250.00%48.17%48.54%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 53.71%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 46.29%. For Detroit Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV +2.76%E +1.24%K +2.26%G +0.062% | 1.9% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +1.83%E +0.832%K +1.52%G +0.028% | 2.3% | 2026-04-17 23:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +1.83%E +0.832%K +1.52%G +0.028% | 2.3% | 2026-04-17 23:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.85%E -2.15%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.485%E -0.225%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-17 23:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.948%E -0.443%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 22:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.948%E -0.443%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 22:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.24%E -1.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-17 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.70%E -0.931%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.34%E -1.11%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-17 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.70%E -0.931%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-17 20:17 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 23:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 23:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 20:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.15%E -4.77%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.85%E -2.15%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.72%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-17 04:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.72%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 23:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.72%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.72%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.72%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -9.76%E -5.81%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.65%E -2.26%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 21:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.65%E -2.26%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 15:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 21:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 15:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 13:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 15:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 23:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 23:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 04:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 23:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 23:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 04:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 04:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 04:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.30%E -6.17%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -2.78%E -1.53%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.58%E -2.73%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 22:53 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.04%E -2.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 21:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.04%E -2.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 21:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -6.96%E -3.47%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 22:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 09:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 20:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 23:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27% | 0.1% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.4% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.4% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34% | 1.6% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32% | 2.2% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |