Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox v Detroit Tigers

Início: 2026-04-17 23:16 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 1–0 Detroit Tigers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Previsão 53.71%1.86odd justa
EV -1.70%
Vantagem -0.931%
Kelly -2.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%53.87%53.66%55.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.761.771.8359.88%56.78%56.50%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Previsão 46.29%2.16odd justa
EV +2.76%
Vantagem +1.24%
Kelly +2.26%
Crescimento +0.062%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.22%46.13%46.34%47.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.082.062.2250.00%48.17%48.54%45.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Boston Red Sox (Local): 53.71%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 46.29%. Para Detroit Tigers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.16. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.22, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.76%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV +2.76%E +1.24%K +2.26%G +0.062%1.9%2026-04-17 23:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +1.83%E +0.832%K +1.52%G +0.028%2.3%2026-04-17 23:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +1.83%E +0.832%K +1.52%G +0.028%2.3%2026-04-17 23:14
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.85%E -2.15%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.485%E -0.225%K -0.422%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-17 23:14
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.948%E -0.443%K -0.831%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 22:20
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.948%E -0.443%K -0.831%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 22:20
Everygame🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.24%E -1.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-17 20:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 22:20
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:15
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:15
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.70%E -0.931%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.34%E -1.11%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-17 22:55
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.70%E -0.931%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 22:50
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-17 20:17
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 23:15
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 23:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 23:14
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 20:44
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.15%E -4.77%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 23:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 23:15
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.85%E -2.15%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.72%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 04:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.72%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 23:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.72%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 23:15
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.72%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 23:15
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.72%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 23:15
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -9.76%E -5.81%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 23:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.65%E -2.26%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 21:10
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.65%E -2.26%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 11:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 15:14
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 21:45
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 15:14
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 13:44
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 13:40
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 13:39
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 15:14
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 04:29
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 23:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 23:14
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 04:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 04:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 04:29
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.30%E -6.17%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 23:15
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -2.78%E -1.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.58%E -2.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 22:53
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.04%E -2.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 21:45
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.04%E -2.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 21:45
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -6.96%E -3.47%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 23:15
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 22:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 23:15
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 09:34
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 23:15
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 20:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 23:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-04-17 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-04-17 23:15
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-17 23:15
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-17 23:15
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-04-17 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-04-17 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-04-17 23:15
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.6%2026-04-17 23:15
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-04-17 23:15
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%8.3%2026-04-17 23:15