L’École des cotes

Boston Red Sox v Detroit Tigers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-17 23:16 UTC

Score final : Boston Red Sox 1–0 Detroit Tigers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prévision 53.71%1.86cote équitable
EV -1.70%
Avantage -0.931%
Kelly -2.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%53.87%53.66%55.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.761.771.8359.88%56.78%56.50%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Detroit Tigers (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.29%2.16cote équitable
EV +2.76%
Avantage +1.24%
Kelly +2.26%
Croissance +0.062%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.22%46.13%46.34%47.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.082.062.2250.00%48.17%48.54%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV +2.76%E +1.24%K +2.26%G +0.062%1.9%2026-04-17 23:15
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +1.83%E +0.832%K +1.52%G +0.028%2.3%2026-04-17 23:14
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +1.83%E +0.832%K +1.52%G +0.028%2.3%2026-04-17 23:14
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.85%E -2.15%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.485%E -0.225%K -0.422%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-17 23:14
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.948%E -0.443%K -0.831%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 22:20
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.948%E -0.443%K -0.831%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 22:20
Everygame1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.24%E -1.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-17 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 22:20
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:15
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:15
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:15
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:15
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:15
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:15
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.70%E -0.931%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.34%E -1.11%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-17 22:55
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.70%E -0.931%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 22:50
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-17 20:17
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 23:15
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 23:14
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 23:14
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 20:44
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.15%E -4.77%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 23:15
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 23:15
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.85%E -2.15%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.72%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 04:34
Dabble (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.72%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 23:14
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.72%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 23:15
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.72%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 23:15
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.72%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 23:15
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -9.76%E -5.81%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 23:15
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.65%E -2.26%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 21:10
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.65%E -2.26%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 11:19
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 15:14
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 21:45
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 15:14
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 13:44
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 13:40
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 13:39
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 15:14
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:14
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:14
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 04:29
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 23:14
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 23:14
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 04:34
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 04:29
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 04:29
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.30%E -6.17%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 23:15
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -2.78%E -1.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.58%E -2.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 22:53
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.04%E -2.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 21:45
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.04%E -2.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 21:45
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -6.96%E -3.47%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 23:15
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 22:25
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 23:15
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 09:34
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 23:15
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 20:50
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 23:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-04-17 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-04-17 23:15
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-17 23:15
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-17 23:15
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-04-17 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-04-17 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-04-17 23:15
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.6%2026-04-17 23:15
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-04-17 23:15
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%8.3%2026-04-17 23:15