La escuela de los momios

Boston Red Sox v Detroit Tigers

Inicio: 2026-04-17 23:16 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 1–0 Detroit Tigers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Predicción 53.71%1.86momio equitativo
EV -1.70%
Ventaja -0.931%
Kelly -2.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%53.87%53.66%55.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.761.771.8359.88%56.78%56.50%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Predicción 46.29%2.16momio equitativo
EV +2.76%
Ventaja +1.24%
Kelly +2.26%
Crecimiento +0.062%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.22%46.13%46.34%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.082.062.2250.00%48.17%48.54%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV +2.76%E +1.24%K +2.26%G +0.062%1.9%2026-04-17 23:15
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +1.83%E +0.832%K +1.52%G +0.028%2.3%2026-04-17 23:14
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +1.83%E +0.832%K +1.52%G +0.028%2.3%2026-04-17 23:14
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.85%E -2.15%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.485%E -0.225%K -0.422%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-17 23:14
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.948%E -0.443%K -0.831%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 22:20
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.948%E -0.443%K -0.831%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 22:20
Everygame1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.24%E -1.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-17 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 22:20
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:15
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:15
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:15
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:15
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:15
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:15
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.70%E -0.931%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.34%E -1.11%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-17 22:55
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.70%E -0.931%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 22:50
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-17 20:17
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 23:15
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 23:14
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 23:14
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 20:44
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.15%E -4.77%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 23:15
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 23:15
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.85%E -2.15%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.72%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 04:34
Dabble (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.72%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 23:14
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.72%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 23:15
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.72%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 23:15
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.72%E -1.79%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 23:15
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -9.76%E -5.81%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 23:15
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.65%E -2.26%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 21:10
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.65%E -2.26%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 11:19
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 15:14
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 21:45
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 15:14
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 13:44
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 13:40
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 13:39
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 15:14
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:14
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:14
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 04:29
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 23:14
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 23:14
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 04:34
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 04:29
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 04:29
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.30%E -6.17%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 23:15
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -2.78%E -1.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.58%E -2.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 22:53
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.04%E -2.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 21:45
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.04%E -2.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 21:45
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -6.96%E -3.47%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 23:15
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 22:25
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 23:15
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 09:34
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 23:15
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 20:50
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 23:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-04-17 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-04-17 23:15
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-17 23:15
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-17 23:15
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-04-17 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-04-17 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-04-17 23:15
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.6%2026-04-17 23:15
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-04-17 23:15
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%8.3%2026-04-17 23:15