Language:English
Boston Red Sox v Detroit Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Prediction 43.16%2.32fair odd
EV +2.73%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +1.98%
Growth +0.054%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.66%42.99%43.22%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.252.252.3846.51%44.43%44.54%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Detroit Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 56.84%1.76fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.968%
Kelly -2.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.14%57.01%56.78%59.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.661.671.7362.50%60.10%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 43.16%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 56.84%. For Boston Red Sox (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.73%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV +2.73%E +1.15%K +1.98%G +0.054% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -6.79%E -4.14%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-18 20:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.93%E -4.89%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.93%E -4.89%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 20:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 19:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 19:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 19:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 19:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 19:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 19:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 19:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 19:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +0.574%E +0.246%K +0.431%G +0.002% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 20:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +0.574%E +0.246%K +0.431%G +0.002% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 20:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +0.574%E +0.246%K +0.431%G +0.002% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 20:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +0.574%E +0.246%K +0.431%G +0.002% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 20:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -1.15%E -0.503%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.58%E -0.695%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.68%E -0.968%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-18 19:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.68%E -0.968%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-18 19:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-18 20:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.09%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 19:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 19:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.31%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 20:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.74%E -1.68%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.65%E -3.41%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 20:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.74%E -1.68%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.65%E -3.41%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 19:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.17%E -1.88%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 17:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.17%E -1.88%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.09%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 20:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 19:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 17:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 20:08 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 17:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 19:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 17:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 20:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 20:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.93%E -4.89%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 19:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 20:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -5.47%E -2.50%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 19:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.90%E -2.71%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.90%E -2.71%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.33%E -2.92%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 20:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.09%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 20:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.65%E -3.41%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 20:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 20:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.2% | 2026-04-18 19:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.2% | 2026-04-18 20:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79% | 3.0% | 2026-04-18 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07% | 3.1% | 2026-04-18 20:10 |