A Escola das Odds

Boston Red Sox v Detroit Tigers

Início: 2026-04-18 20:13 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 1–4 Detroit Tigers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Previsão 43.16%2.32odd justa
EV +2.73%
Vantagem +1.15%
Kelly +1.98%
Crescimento +0.054%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.66%42.99%43.22%43.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.252.252.3846.51%44.43%44.54%42.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Previsão 56.84%1.76odd justa
EV -1.68%
Vantagem -0.968%
Kelly -2.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.14%57.01%56.78%59.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.601.661.671.7362.50%60.10%59.88%57.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV +2.73%E +1.15%K +1.98%G +0.054%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -6.79%E -4.14%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 20:04
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.93%E -4.89%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 20:05
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.93%E -4.89%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 20:05
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 19:45
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 19:45
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 19:45
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 19:45
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 19:45
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 19:45
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 19:45
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +0.574%E +0.246%K +0.431%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 20:05
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +0.574%E +0.246%K +0.431%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 20:05
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +0.574%E +0.246%K +0.431%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 20:05
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +0.574%E +0.246%K +0.431%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 20:05
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -1.15%E -0.503%K -0.894%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-18 19:20
Everygame2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.58%E -0.695%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-18 19:29
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.68%E -0.968%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-18 19:25
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.68%E -0.968%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-18 19:35
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 19:20
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 19:20
BetUS2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-18 20:05
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 19:20
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 19:20
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.09%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 19:25
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 19:25
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 17:25
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 17:25
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 17:25
FanDuel2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.31%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 20:10
SportsBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.74%E -1.68%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.65%E -3.41%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 20:10
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.74%E -1.68%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.65%E -3.41%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 19:59
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.17%E -1.88%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 17:19
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.17%E -1.88%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.09%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 20:09
MyBookie.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 19:40
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 17:25
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 20:08
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 19:20
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 19:20
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 19:30
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 17:25
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 19:40
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 17:25
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 19:15
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 20:00
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 20:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 19:55
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.93%E -4.89%K -12.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 19:25
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 20:10
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -5.47%E -2.50%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 19:25
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.90%E -2.71%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 19:15
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.90%E -2.71%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 19:15
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.33%E -2.92%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 20:09
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 19:30
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.09%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 20:00
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.65%E -3.41%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 19:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-04-18 20:09
ProphetX2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%0.8%2026-04-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-04-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-04-18 20:10
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-04-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-04-18 20:10
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-04-18 19:50
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-04-18 20:10
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%3.0%2026-04-18 20:10
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%3.1%2026-04-18 20:10