L’École des cotes

Boston Red Sox v Detroit Tigers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 20:13 UTC

Score final : Boston Red Sox 1–4 Detroit Tigers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prévision 43.16%2.32cote équitable
EV +2.73%
Avantage +1.15%
Kelly +1.98%
Croissance +0.054%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.66%42.99%43.22%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.252.252.3846.51%44.43%44.54%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Detroit Tigers (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.84%1.76cote équitable
EV -1.68%
Avantage -0.968%
Kelly -2.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.14%57.01%56.78%59.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.661.671.7362.50%60.10%59.88%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV +2.73%E +1.15%K +1.98%G +0.054%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -6.79%E -4.14%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 20:04
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.93%E -4.89%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 20:05
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.93%E -4.89%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 20:05
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 19:45
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 19:45
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 19:45
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 19:45
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 19:45
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 19:45
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 19:45
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +0.574%E +0.246%K +0.431%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 20:05
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +0.574%E +0.246%K +0.431%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 20:05
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +0.574%E +0.246%K +0.431%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 20:05
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +0.574%E +0.246%K +0.431%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 20:05
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -1.15%E -0.503%K -0.894%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-18 19:20
Everygame2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.58%E -0.695%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-18 19:29
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.68%E -0.968%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-18 19:25
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.68%E -0.968%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-18 19:35
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 19:20
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 19:20
BetUS2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-18 20:05
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 19:20
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 19:20
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.09%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 19:25
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 19:25
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 17:25
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 17:25
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 17:25
FanDuel2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.31%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 20:10
SportsBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.74%E -1.68%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.65%E -3.41%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 20:10
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.74%E -1.68%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.65%E -3.41%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 19:59
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.17%E -1.88%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 17:19
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.17%E -1.88%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.09%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 20:09
MyBookie.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 19:40
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 17:25
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 20:08
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 19:20
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 19:20
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 19:30
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 17:25
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 19:40
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 17:25
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 19:15
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 20:00
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 20:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 19:55
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.93%E -4.89%K -12.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 19:25
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 20:10
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -5.47%E -2.50%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 19:25
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.90%E -2.71%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 19:15
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.90%E -2.71%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 19:15
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.33%E -2.92%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 20:09
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 19:30
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.09%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 20:00
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.65%E -3.41%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 19:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-04-18 20:09
ProphetX2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%0.8%2026-04-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-04-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-04-18 20:10
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-04-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-04-18 20:10
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-04-18 19:50
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-04-18 20:10
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%3.0%2026-04-18 20:10
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%3.1%2026-04-18 20:10