La escuela de los momios

Boston Red Sox v Detroit Tigers

Inicio: 2026-04-18 20:13 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 1–4 Detroit Tigers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Predicción 43.16%2.32momio equitativo
EV +2.73%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +1.98%
Crecimiento +0.054%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.66%42.99%43.22%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.252.252.3846.51%44.43%44.54%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Predicción 56.84%1.76momio equitativo
EV -1.68%
Ventaja -0.968%
Kelly -2.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.14%57.01%56.78%59.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.661.671.7362.50%60.10%59.88%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV +2.73%E +1.15%K +1.98%G +0.054%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -6.79%E -4.14%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 20:04
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.93%E -4.89%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 20:05
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.93%E -4.89%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 20:05
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 19:45
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 19:45
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 19:45
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 19:45
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 19:45
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 19:45
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.44%E +0.612%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.50%E -5.28%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 19:45
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +0.574%E +0.246%K +0.431%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 20:05
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +0.574%E +0.246%K +0.431%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 20:05
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +0.574%E +0.246%K +0.431%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 20:05
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +0.574%E +0.246%K +0.431%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 20:05
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -1.15%E -0.503%K -0.894%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-18 19:20
Everygame2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.58%E -0.695%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-18 19:29
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.68%E -0.968%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-18 19:25
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.68%E -0.968%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-18 19:35
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 19:20
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 19:20
BetUS2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-18 20:05
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 19:20
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 19:20
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.09%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 19:25
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 19:25
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 17:25
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 17:25
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 17:25
FanDuel2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.31%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 20:10
SportsBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.74%E -1.68%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.65%E -3.41%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 20:10
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.74%E -1.68%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.65%E -3.41%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 19:59
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.17%E -1.88%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 17:19
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.17%E -1.88%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.09%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 20:09
MyBookie.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 19:40
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 17:25
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 20:08
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 19:20
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 19:20
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 19:30
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 17:25
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 19:40
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 17:25
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 19:15
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 20:00
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 20:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 19:55
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.93%E -4.89%K -12.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 19:25
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 20:10
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -5.47%E -2.50%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 19:25
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.90%E -2.71%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 19:15
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.90%E -2.71%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 19:15
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.33%E -2.92%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 20:09
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 19:30
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.09%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 20:00
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.65%E -3.41%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 19:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-04-18 20:09
ProphetX2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%0.8%2026-04-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-04-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-04-18 20:10
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-04-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-04-18 20:10
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-04-18 19:50
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-04-18 20:10
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%3.0%2026-04-18 20:10
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%3.1%2026-04-18 20:10