The School of Odds

Boston Red Sox v Baltimore Orioles

2026-07-22 17:36 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 55.20%1.81fair odd
EV -0.647%
Edge -0.359%
Kelly -0.808%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%55.09%55.24%56.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.661.731.731.8060%58%58%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Visit)

Prediction 44.80%2.23fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.651%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.59%44.91%44.76%46.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.122.122.2049%47%47%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.647%E -0.359%K -0.808%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 22:55
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.20%E -0.670%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.78%E -1.28%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-22 00:00
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.22%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 00:00
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 23:55
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.12%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 01:02
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.12%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 01:02
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.12%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 01:02
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.12%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 01:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 01:02
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 01:02
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 01:02
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 01:01
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 01:02
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 01:02
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 01:00
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.12%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 23:55
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 22:55
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 01:01
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 01:02
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 01:02
betano_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 23:54
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 23:55
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 22:55
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:00
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 23:55
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.12%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 22:55
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 23:55
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 22:45
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 22:45
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 22:45
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.46%E -2.59%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 23:55
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 23:55
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.43%E -0.651%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 22:55
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 01:02
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 22:55
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 23:54
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 22:55
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -8.37%E -5.04%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 23:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-07-22 01:10
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%4.5%2026-07-22 00:45
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%10.1%2026-07-21 23:55