La scuola delle quote

Boston Red Sox v Baltimore Orioles

Inizio: 2026-07-22 17:36 UTC

Finale: Boston Red Sox 6–3 Baltimore Orioles

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Casa)

Previsione 59.71%1.67quota equa
EV -1.47%
Vantaggio -0.892%
Kelly -2.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.69%59.73%59.65%61.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.601.601.6564.52%62.46%62.50%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.29%2.48quota equa
EV +2.73%
Vantaggio +1.07%
Kelly +1.76%
Crescita +0.048%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.41%40.27%40.35%42.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.372.352.5544.44%42.22%42.55%39.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV +2.73%E +1.07%K +1.76%G +0.048%2.1%2026-07-22 17:34
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV +2.33%E +0.916%K +1.51%G +0.035%2.3%2026-07-22 17:34
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV +2.33%E +0.916%K +1.51%G +0.035%2.3%2026-07-22 17:35
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.85%E -4.39%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +0.715%E +0.286%K +0.477%G +0.003%4.1%2026-07-22 17:33
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV +0.312%E +0.125%K +0.210%G +0.001%2.3%2026-07-22 17:25
BetAnything1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -0.494%E -0.200%K -0.336%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-22 17:34
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.30%E -0.530%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-22 17:34
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -1.70%E -0.698%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 17:34
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.47%E -0.892%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-22 17:09
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.67%E -1.64%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-22 16:39
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.67%E -1.64%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-22 16:39
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 17:24
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 17:30
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 17:35
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 17:33
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 17:33
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 17:25
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.44%E -4.80%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 17:14
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 17:34
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.47%E -0.892%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-22 17:25
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 16:39
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 16:39
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-22 17:34
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 17:24
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.26%E -2.01%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.52%E -1.91%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 17:28
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.52%E -1.91%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 17:09
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 17:09
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 17:09
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 17:09
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 17:33
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:54
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:54
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:54
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:40
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:39
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:54
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:54
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:54
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 17:24
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 17:09
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 17:34
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.65%E -3.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 17:25
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.73%E -2.45%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 17:04
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -6.13%E -2.63%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 17:34
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.13%E -2.63%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 17:09
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.13%E -2.63%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 17:09
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -6.85%E -4.39%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.54%E -2.82%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 16:54
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.26%E -2.01%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 17:34
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.26%E -2.01%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 15:19
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.26%E -2.01%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.26%E -2.01%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 17:04
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 17:34
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 17:04
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.85%E -4.39%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.15%E -3.57%K -6.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 17:23
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.47%E -0.892%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:54
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 17:23
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 17:23
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 17:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-07-22 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-07-22 17:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-07-22 17:30
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-22 17:34
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-22 17:05
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.6%2026-07-22 17:35
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-07-22 17:35
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-07-22 17:30
BetOpenly1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%3.2%2026-07-22 17:34
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%7.2%2026-07-22 17:25