L’École des cotes

Boston Red Sox v Baltimore Orioles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-22 17:36 UTC

Score final : Boston Red Sox 6–3 Baltimore Orioles

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prévision 59.71%1.67cote équitable
EV -1.47%
Avantage -0.892%
Kelly -2.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.69%59.73%59.65%61.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.601.601.6564.52%62.46%62.50%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.29%2.48cote équitable
EV +2.73%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.76%
Croissance +0.048%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.41%40.27%40.35%42.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.372.352.5544.44%42.22%42.55%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV +2.73%E +1.07%K +1.76%G +0.048%2.1%2026-07-22 17:34
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV +2.33%E +0.916%K +1.51%G +0.035%2.3%2026-07-22 17:34
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV +2.33%E +0.916%K +1.51%G +0.035%2.3%2026-07-22 17:35
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.85%E -4.39%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +0.715%E +0.286%K +0.477%G +0.003%4.1%2026-07-22 17:33
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV +0.312%E +0.125%K +0.210%G +0.001%2.3%2026-07-22 17:25
BetAnything1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -0.494%E -0.200%K -0.336%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-22 17:34
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.30%E -0.530%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-22 17:34
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -1.70%E -0.698%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 17:34
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.47%E -0.892%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-22 17:09
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.67%E -1.64%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-22 16:39
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.67%E -1.64%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-22 16:39
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 17:24
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 17:30
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 17:35
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 17:33
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 17:33
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 17:25
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.44%E -4.80%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 17:14
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 17:34
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.47%E -0.892%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-22 17:25
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 16:39
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 16:39
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-22 17:34
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 17:24
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.26%E -2.01%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.52%E -1.91%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 17:28
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.52%E -1.91%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 17:09
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 17:09
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 17:09
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 17:09
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 17:33
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:54
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:54
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:54
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:40
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:39
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:54
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:54
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:54
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 17:24
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 17:09
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 17:34
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.65%E -3.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 17:25
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.73%E -2.45%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 17:04
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -6.13%E -2.63%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 17:34
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.13%E -2.63%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 17:09
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.13%E -2.63%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 17:09
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -6.85%E -4.39%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.54%E -2.82%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 16:54
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.26%E -2.01%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 17:34
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.26%E -2.01%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 15:19
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.26%E -2.01%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.26%E -2.01%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 17:04
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 17:34
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 17:04
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.85%E -4.39%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.15%E -3.57%K -6.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 17:23
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.47%E -0.892%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:54
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 17:23
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 17:23
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 17:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-07-22 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-07-22 17:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-07-22 17:30
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-22 17:34
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-22 17:05
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.6%2026-07-22 17:35
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-07-22 17:35
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-07-22 17:30
BetOpenly1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%3.2%2026-07-22 17:34
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%7.2%2026-07-22 17:25