La escuela de los momiosBoston Red Sox v Baltimore Orioles
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Predicción 59.71%1.67momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.892%
Kelly -2.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.69%59.73%59.65%61.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.601.601.6564.52%62.46%62.50%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)
Predicción 40.29%2.48momio equitativo
EV +2.73%
Ventaja +1.07%
Kelly +1.76%
Crecimiento +0.048%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.41%40.27%40.35%42.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.372.352.5544.44%42.22%42.55%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV +2.73%E +1.07%K +1.76%G +0.048% | 2.1% | 2026-07-22 17:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV +2.33%E +0.916%K +1.51%G +0.035% | 2.3% | 2026-07-22 17:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV +2.33%E +0.916%K +1.51%G +0.035% | 2.3% | 2026-07-22 17:35 |
| Caesars | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.85%E -4.39%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +0.715%E +0.286%K +0.477%G +0.003% | 4.1% | 2026-07-22 17:33 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV +0.312%E +0.125%K +0.210%G +0.001% | 2.3% | 2026-07-22 17:25 |
| BetAnything | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -0.494%E -0.200%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-22 17:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.30%E -0.530%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-22 17:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -1.70%E -0.698%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 17:34 |
| 1xBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.47%E -0.892%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-22 17:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.67%E -1.64%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-22 16:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.67%E -1.64%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-22 16:39 |
| ReBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-22 17:24 |
| theScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-22 17:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-22 17:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-22 17:35 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-22 17:33 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 17:33 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.44%E -4.80%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-22 17:14 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-22 17:34 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.47%E -0.892%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-22 17:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-22 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-22 16:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-22 16:39 |
| Bet Right | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-22 17:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 17:24 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.26%E -2.01%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.52%E -1.91%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-22 17:28 |
| SportsBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.52%E -1.91%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 17:09 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 17:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 17:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 17:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 17:33 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 16:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 16:54 |
| Unibet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 16:54 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 16:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 16:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 16:39 |
| Bally Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 16:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 16:54 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 16:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 17:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 17:09 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 17:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.65%E -3.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-22 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.73%E -2.45%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-22 17:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -6.13%E -2.63%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-22 17:34 |
| Betsson | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.13%E -2.63%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 17:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.13%E -2.63%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 17:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -6.85%E -4.39%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.54%E -2.82%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-22 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.26%E -2.01%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-22 17:34 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.26%E -2.01%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-22 15:19 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.26%E -2.01%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-22 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.26%E -2.01%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-22 17:04 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-22 17:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-22 17:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.85%E -4.39%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.15%E -3.57%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 17:23 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.47%E -0.892%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 16:54 |
| betano_uk | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 17:23 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 17:23 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.46%E -2.79%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 17:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-07-22 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-07-22 17:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-07-22 17:30 |
| Novig | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 17:34 |
| Polymarket | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 17:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.6% | 2026-07-22 17:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-07-22 17:35 |
| Kalshi | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-07-22 17:30 |
| BetOpenly | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07% | 3.2% | 2026-07-22 17:34 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57% | 7.2% | 2026-07-22 17:25 |