Language:English
Boston Red Sox v Arizona Diamondbacks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Prediction 60.50%1.65fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.854%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.28%60.51%60.45%61.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.581.581.6364.52%63.21%63.29%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)
Prediction 39.50%2.53fair odd
EV +1.53%
Edge +0.594%
Kelly +0.972%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 2.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.07%39.49%39.55%40.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.402.402.5743.86%41.59%41.67%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 60.50%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 39.50%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV +1.53%E +0.594%K +0.972%G +0.015% | 2.2% | 2026-08-18 22:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV +1.13%E +0.442%K +0.725%G +0.008% | 2.4% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.30%EV -2.60%E -1.62%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.70%EV +0.736%E +0.289%K +0.475%G +0.003% | 1.3% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV +0.341%E +0.134%K +0.221%G +0.001% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV +0.341%E +0.134%K +0.221%G +0.001% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -0.054%E -0.021%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -0.449%E -0.178%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -0.844%E -0.336%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.81%E -2.40%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.63%E -0.656%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-18 20:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.00%E -1.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -2.03%E -0.818%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-18 21:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.39%E -0.854%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.82%E -1.15%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-18 20:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-17 19:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-18 20:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-18 20:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.63%E -3.61%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.63%E -3.61%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.63%E -3.61%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 22:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -2.60%E -1.62%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -4.00%E -1.65%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-18 23:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.81%E -2.40%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.00%E -1.65%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.63%E -3.61%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.40%E -1.82%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.63%E -3.61%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.40%E -1.82%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -1.39%E -0.854%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -1.39%E -0.854%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-18 21:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-18 06:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 21:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 23:08 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 20:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 21:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.23%E -4.02%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 05:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.58%E -2.34%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.60%E -1.62%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.98%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-18 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.60%E -1.62%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.98%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-18 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 23:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 23:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -8.35%E -3.60%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -8.35%E -3.60%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.84%EV -6.23%E -4.02%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.16%EV -8.75%E -3.79%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-18 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.23%E -4.02%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.23%E -4.02%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -6.23%E -4.02%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -9.93%E -4.36%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-18 23:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-08-18 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-08-18 22:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.4% | 2026-08-18 23:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98% | 1.8% | 2026-08-18 23:10 |