النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Boston Red Sox v Arizona Diamondbacks

البداية: 2026-08-18 23:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Boston Red Sox 9–4 Arizona Diamondbacks

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Boston Red Sox (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.50%1.65السعر العادل
EV -1.39%
الأفضلية -0.854%
Kelly -2.21%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.28%60.51%60.45%61.93%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.551.581.581.6364.52%63.21%63.29%61.35%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Arizona Diamondbacks (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.50%2.53السعر العادل
EV +1.53%
الأفضلية +0.594%
Kelly +0.972%
النمو +0.015%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.07%39.49%39.55%40.72%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.282.402.402.5743.86%41.59%41.67%38.91%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Boston Red Sox (المضيف)⁩: ⁨60.50%⁩؛ ⁨Arizona Diamondbacks (الضيف)⁩: ⁨39.50%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Arizona Diamondbacks (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨2.53⁩. عرضت 5 شركات مراهنات أسعار إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨2.57⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+1.53%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Caesars🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV +1.53%E +0.594%K +0.972%G +0.015%2.2%2026-08-18 22:45
GTbets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV +1.13%E +0.442%K +0.725%G +0.008%2.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 61.30%EV -2.60%E -1.62%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.70%EV +0.736%E +0.289%K +0.475%G +0.003%1.3%2026-08-18 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV +0.341%E +0.134%K +0.221%G +0.001%2.7%2026-08-18 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV +0.341%E +0.134%K +0.221%G +0.001%2.7%2026-08-18 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -0.054%E -0.021%K -0.035%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-18 22:55
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -0.449%E -0.178%K -0.296%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-18 22:55
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -0.844%E -0.336%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-18 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.81%E -2.40%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.63%E -0.656%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-18 20:30
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.00%E -1.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -2.03%E -0.818%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 21:30
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.39%E -0.854%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.82%E -1.15%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-18 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 20:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 19:04
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 20:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 20:20
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.63%E -3.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.63%E -3.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 22:55
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.63%E -3.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 22:54
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -2.60%E -1.62%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -4.00%E -1.65%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-18 23:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.81%E -2.40%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.00%E -1.65%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 20:45
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.63%E -3.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.40%E -1.82%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.63%E -3.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.40%E -1.82%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -1.39%E -0.854%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -1.39%E -0.854%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-18 21:14
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-18 06:09
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 21:20
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:55
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 23:08
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 20:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 21:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.23%E -4.02%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 05:04
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.58%E -2.34%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.60%E -1.62%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.98%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.60%E -1.62%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.98%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 23:10
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:10
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:10
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 22:55
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 23:09
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 23:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 22:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -8.35%E -3.60%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -8.35%E -3.60%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.84%EV -6.23%E -4.02%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.16%EV -8.75%E -3.79%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.23%E -4.02%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 22:55
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.23%E -4.02%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 22:55
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -6.23%E -4.02%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -9.93%E -4.36%K -7.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-18 23:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-18 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-18 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-18 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-18 23:05
Matchbook◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-08-18 23:10
Novig◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-18 23:10
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-18 22:45
Polymarket◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-18 23:00
BetOpenly◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-08-18 23:09
Smarkets◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%1.8%2026-08-18 23:10