Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox v Arizona Diamondbacks

Início: 2026-08-18 23:11 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 9–4 Arizona Diamondbacks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Previsão 60.50%1.65odd justa
EV -1.39%
Vantagem -0.854%
Kelly -2.21%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.28%60.51%60.45%61.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.581.581.6364.52%63.21%63.29%61.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Previsão 39.50%2.53odd justa
EV +1.53%
Vantagem +0.594%
Kelly +0.972%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.07%39.49%39.55%40.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.282.402.402.5743.86%41.59%41.67%38.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Boston Red Sox (Local): 60.50%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante): 39.50%. Para Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.53. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.57, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.53%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV +1.53%E +0.594%K +0.972%G +0.015%2.2%2026-08-18 22:45
GTbets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV +1.13%E +0.442%K +0.725%G +0.008%2.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 61.30%EV -2.60%E -1.62%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.70%EV +0.736%E +0.289%K +0.475%G +0.003%1.3%2026-08-18 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV +0.341%E +0.134%K +0.221%G +0.001%2.7%2026-08-18 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV +0.341%E +0.134%K +0.221%G +0.001%2.7%2026-08-18 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -0.054%E -0.021%K -0.035%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-18 22:55
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -0.449%E -0.178%K -0.296%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-18 22:55
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -0.844%E -0.336%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-18 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.81%E -2.40%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.63%E -0.656%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-18 20:30
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.00%E -1.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -2.03%E -0.818%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 21:30
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.39%E -0.854%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.82%E -1.15%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-18 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 20:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 19:04
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 20:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 20:20
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.63%E -3.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.63%E -3.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 22:55
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.63%E -3.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 22:54
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -2.60%E -1.62%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -4.00%E -1.65%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-18 23:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.81%E -2.40%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.00%E -1.65%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 20:45
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.63%E -3.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.40%E -1.82%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.63%E -3.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.40%E -1.82%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -1.39%E -0.854%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -1.39%E -0.854%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-18 21:14
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-18 06:09
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 21:20
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:55
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 23:08
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 20:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 21:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.23%E -4.02%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 05:04
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.58%E -2.34%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.60%E -1.62%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.98%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.60%E -1.62%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.98%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 23:10
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:10
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:10
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.21%E -2.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 22:55
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 23:09
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 23:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 22:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -8.35%E -3.60%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -8.35%E -3.60%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.84%EV -6.23%E -4.02%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.16%EV -8.75%E -3.79%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.23%E -4.02%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 22:55
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.23%E -4.02%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 22:55
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -6.23%E -4.02%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -9.93%E -4.36%K -7.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-18 23:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-18 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-18 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-18 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-18 23:05
Matchbook◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-08-18 23:10
Novig◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-18 23:10
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-18 22:45
Polymarket◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-18 23:00
BetOpenly◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-08-18 23:09
Smarkets◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%1.8%2026-08-18 23:10