Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-08-18 23:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Predicción 60.29%1.66momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.686%
Kelly -1.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.84%60.39%60.22%61.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.511.581.571.6466.23%63.32%63.69%60.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Predicción 39.71%2.52momio equitativo
EV -0.725%
Ventaja -0.290%
Kelly -0.483%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.35%39.61%39.78%42.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.412.422.5044.44%41.43%41.32%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Boston Red Sox (Local): 60.29%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante): 39.71%. Para Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.52. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.50, con un valor esperado de -0.725%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Caesars🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%EV -1.12%E -0.686%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%EV -1.92%E -0.776%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-17 19:48
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.12%E -0.686%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -3.50%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 00:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -1.12%E -0.686%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -10.65%E -4.73%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 01:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.33%E -1.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.725%E -0.290%K -0.483%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-18 00:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.33%E -1.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-17 19:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.33%E -1.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-17 19:05
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.33%E -1.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-17 20:34
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.33%E -1.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-18 00:20
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.33%E -1.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.90%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-17 23:40
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.33%E -1.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.68%E -2.84%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 19:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.33%E -1.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.68%E -2.84%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 19:39
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.54%E -2.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.90%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 01:04
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.54%E -2.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.54%E -2.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 19:39
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.54%E -2.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.68%E -2.84%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 19:09
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.14%E -2.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-17 19:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.14%E -2.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.50%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 01:24
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.14%E -2.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 18:59
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.14%E -2.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 18:59
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.14%E -2.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 19:40
Betway🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.14%E -2.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 23:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.14%E -2.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -6.28%E -2.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 00:25
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.74%E -3.00%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -4.30%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 20:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.74%E -3.00%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 01:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.74%E -3.00%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.68%E -2.84%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 19:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 19:04
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.90%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 00:55
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.90%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 00:54
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 19:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:00
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.49%E -2.31%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 19:58
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.49%E -2.31%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 01:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -5.89%E -2.48%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 01:19
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.95%E -3.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.725%E -0.290%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 00:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.95%E -3.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 00:39
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.95%E -3.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 00:40
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.95%E -3.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 00:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.95%E -3.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 00:39
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.95%E -3.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 00:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.95%E -3.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 00:40
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.95%E -3.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 00:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.95%E -3.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 00:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.95%E -3.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 00:39
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.95%E -3.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 00:39
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.95%E -3.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.50%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 00:39
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -6.55%E -4.23%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -1.12%E -0.451%K -0.753%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 00:43
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.55%E -4.23%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 00:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.55%E -4.23%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 00:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -7.15%E -4.65%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.67%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-18 01:20
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -7.76%E -5.07%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -2.31%E -0.940%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 00:44
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.76%E -5.07%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 18:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.76%E -5.07%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.67%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-18 01:20
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -8.96%E -5.94%K -17.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.68%E -2.84%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-18 00:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-08-18 01:20
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-18 01:50
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-18 00:05
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-17 18:59
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%4.5%2026-08-18 01:35
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%8.4%2026-08-18 01:50

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