Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles v Seattle Mariners

Kickoff: 2026-06-08 22:36 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 3–6 Seattle Mariners

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prediction 46.46%2.15fair odd
EV -0.112%
Edge -0.052%
Kelly -0.097%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.79%46.36%46.48%47.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.062.052.1550.00%48.56%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Mariners (Visit)

Prediction 53.54%1.87fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.807%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.85%53.64%53.52%55.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.781.791.8458.14%56.10%55.87%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 46.46%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 53.54%. For Baltimore Orioles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.152. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.150, with an expected value of -0.112%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -0.112%E -0.052%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-08 13:48
Everygame🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.576%E -0.269%K -0.506%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -3.09%E -1.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-08 22:29
BetUS🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.51%E -0.710%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.09%E -1.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-08 22:29
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.51%E -0.710%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.91%E -4.60%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:29
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.51%E -0.710%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.91%E -4.60%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:29
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.97%E -0.934%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.02%E -1.10%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-08 22:09
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.02%E -1.10%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-08 21:59
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.02%E -1.10%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-08 22:29
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-08 18:09
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-08 18:09
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 21:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 23:29
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 22:29
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.84%E -3.93%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 20:59
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.38%E -4.26%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 22:29
GTbets🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -2.90%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -1.49%E -0.807%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-08 22:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -3.36%E -1.62%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -1.49%E -0.807%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-08 22:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -3.36%E -1.62%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -1.49%E -0.807%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-08 22:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.36%E -1.62%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 20:40
DraftKings🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.36%E -1.62%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.77%E -3.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-08 22:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.83%E -1.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.02%E -1.10%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-08 22:29
SportsBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.83%E -1.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.77%E -3.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 21:59
Bovada🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.29%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.16%E -2.33%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-08 20:39
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.29%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 18:20
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 15:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 14:59
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 21:59
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 16:12
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 14:58
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 14:59
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 15:59
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 20:39
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 14:59
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.77%E -3.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-08 14:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.77%E -3.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-08 15:59
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 15:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 22:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 15:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 15:59
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.38%E -4.26%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-08 14:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-08 21:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.09%E -1.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 22:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.09%E -1.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 22:29
LeoVegas🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 21:59
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.15%E -3.05%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.16%E -2.33%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.15%E -3.05%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.16%E -2.33%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.15%E -3.05%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.16%E -2.33%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:29
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.15%E -3.05%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.16%E -2.33%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-08 22:09
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-08 22:29
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-08 22:00
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-08 22:26
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.84%E -3.93%K -9.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-08 18:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.91%E -4.60%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-08 22:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.13I 46.95%NM 46.88%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.12%0.1%2026-06-08 22:29
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-06-08 22:20
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-08 22:29
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-08 17:29
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%1.4%2026-06-08 22:29
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.3%2026-06-08 22:29