L’École des cotes

Baltimore Orioles v Seattle Mariners

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-08 22:36 UTC

Score final : Baltimore Orioles 3–6 Seattle Mariners

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prévision 46.46%2.15cote équitable
EV -0.112%
Avantage -0.052%
Kelly -0.097%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.79%46.36%46.48%47.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.062.052.1550.00%48.56%48.78%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Mariners (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.54%1.87cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.807%
Kelly -1.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.85%53.64%53.52%55.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.781.791.8458.14%56.10%55.87%54.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -0.112%E -0.052%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-08 13:48
Everygame2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.576%E -0.269%K -0.506%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -3.09%E -1.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-08 22:29
BetUS2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.51%E -0.710%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.09%E -1.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-08 22:29
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.51%E -0.710%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.91%E -4.60%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:29
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.51%E -0.710%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.91%E -4.60%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:29
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.97%E -0.934%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.02%E -1.10%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-08 22:09
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.02%E -1.10%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-08 21:59
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.02%E -1.10%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-08 22:29
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-08 18:09
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-08 18:09
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 21:59
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 23:29
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 22:29
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.84%E -3.93%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 20:59
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.38%E -4.26%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 22:29
GTbets2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -2.90%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -1.49%E -0.807%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-08 22:29
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -3.36%E -1.62%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -1.49%E -0.807%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-08 22:29
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -3.36%E -1.62%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -1.49%E -0.807%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-08 22:29
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.36%E -1.62%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 20:40
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.36%E -1.62%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.77%E -3.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-08 22:29
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.83%E -1.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.02%E -1.10%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-08 22:29
SportsBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.83%E -1.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.77%E -3.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 21:59
Bovada2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.29%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.16%E -2.33%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-08 20:39
Bet Right2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.29%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 18:20
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 15:49
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 14:59
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 21:59
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 16:12
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 14:58
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 14:59
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 15:59
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 20:39
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 14:59
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:29
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.77%E -3.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-08 14:59
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.77%E -3.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-08 15:59
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 15:59
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 22:29
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 15:59
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 15:59
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.38%E -4.26%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-08 14:29
MyBookie.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-08 21:39
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.09%E -1.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 22:29
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.09%E -1.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 22:29
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 21:59
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.15%E -3.05%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.16%E -2.33%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:29
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.15%E -3.05%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.16%E -2.33%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:29
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.15%E -3.05%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.16%E -2.33%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:29
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.15%E -3.05%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.16%E -2.33%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:29
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-08 22:09
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-08 22:29
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-08 22:00
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-08 22:26
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.84%E -3.93%K -9.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-08 18:09
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.91%E -4.60%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-08 22:08
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX2.13I 46.95%NM 46.88%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.12%0.1%2026-06-08 22:29
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-06-08 22:20
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-08 22:29
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-08 17:29
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%1.4%2026-06-08 22:29
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.3%2026-06-08 22:29