مدرسة الاحتمالات

Baltimore Orioles v Seattle Mariners

البداية: 2026-06-08 22:36 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Baltimore Orioles 3–6 Seattle Mariners

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.46%2.15السعر العادل
EV -0.112%
الأفضلية -0.052%
Kelly -0.097%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.79%46.36%46.48%47.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.062.052.1550.00%48.56%48.78%46.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Seattle Mariners (الضيف)

التنبؤ 53.54%1.87السعر العادل
EV -1.49%
الأفضلية -0.807%
Kelly -1.77%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.84

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.85%53.64%53.52%55.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.721.781.791.8458.14%56.10%55.87%54.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -0.112%E -0.052%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-08 13:48
Everygame2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.576%E -0.269%K -0.506%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -3.09%E -1.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-08 22:29
BetUS2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.51%E -0.710%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.09%E -1.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-08 22:29
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.51%E -0.710%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.91%E -4.60%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:29
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.51%E -0.710%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.91%E -4.60%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:29
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.97%E -0.934%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.02%E -1.10%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-08 22:09
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.02%E -1.10%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-08 21:59
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.02%E -1.10%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-08 22:29
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-08 18:09
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-08 18:09
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 21:59
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 23:29
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 22:29
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.84%E -3.93%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 20:59
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.38%E -4.26%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 22:29
GTbets2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -2.90%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -1.49%E -0.807%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-08 22:29
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -3.36%E -1.62%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -1.49%E -0.807%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-08 22:29
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -3.36%E -1.62%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -1.49%E -0.807%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-08 22:29
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.36%E -1.62%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 20:40
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.36%E -1.62%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.77%E -3.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-08 22:29
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.83%E -1.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.02%E -1.10%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-08 22:29
SportsBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.83%E -1.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.77%E -3.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 21:59
Bovada2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.29%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.16%E -2.33%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-08 20:39
Bet Right2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.29%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 18:20
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 15:49
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 14:59
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 21:59
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 16:12
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 14:58
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 14:59
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 15:59
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 20:39
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 14:59
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:29
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.77%E -3.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-08 14:59
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.77%E -3.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-08 15:59
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 15:59
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 22:29
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 15:59
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 15:59
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.38%E -4.26%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-08 14:29
MyBookie.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-08 21:39
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.09%E -1.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 22:29
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.09%E -1.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 22:29
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 21:59
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.15%E -3.05%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.16%E -2.33%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:29
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.15%E -3.05%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.16%E -2.33%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:29
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.15%E -3.05%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.16%E -2.33%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:29
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.15%E -3.05%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.16%E -2.33%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:29
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-08 22:09
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-08 22:29
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-08 22:00
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-08 22:26
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.84%E -3.93%K -9.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-08 18:09
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.91%E -4.60%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-08 22:08
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX2.13I 46.95%NM 46.88%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.12%0.1%2026-06-08 22:29
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-06-08 22:20
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-08 22:29
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-08 17:29
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%1.4%2026-06-08 22:29
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.3%2026-06-08 22:29