La escuela de los momios

Baltimore Orioles v Seattle Mariners

Inicio: 2026-06-08 22:36 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 3–6 Seattle Mariners

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Predicción 46.46%2.15momio equitativo
EV -0.112%
Ventaja -0.052%
Kelly -0.097%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.79%46.36%46.48%47.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.062.052.1550.00%48.56%48.78%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Predicción 53.54%1.87momio equitativo
EV -1.49%
Ventaja -0.807%
Kelly -1.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.85%53.64%53.52%55.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.781.791.8458.14%56.10%55.87%54.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -0.112%E -0.052%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-08 13:48
Everygame2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.576%E -0.269%K -0.506%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -3.09%E -1.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-08 22:29
BetUS2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.51%E -0.710%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.09%E -1.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-08 22:29
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.51%E -0.710%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.91%E -4.60%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:29
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.51%E -0.710%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.91%E -4.60%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:29
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.97%E -0.934%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.02%E -1.10%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-08 22:09
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.02%E -1.10%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-08 21:59
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.02%E -1.10%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-08 22:29
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-08 18:09
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-08 18:09
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 21:59
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 23:29
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 22:29
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.84%E -3.93%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 20:59
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.38%E -4.26%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 22:29
GTbets2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -2.90%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -1.49%E -0.807%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-08 22:29
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -3.36%E -1.62%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -1.49%E -0.807%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-08 22:29
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -3.36%E -1.62%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -1.49%E -0.807%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-08 22:29
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.36%E -1.62%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 20:40
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.36%E -1.62%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.77%E -3.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-08 22:29
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.83%E -1.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.02%E -1.10%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-08 22:29
SportsBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.83%E -1.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.77%E -3.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 21:59
Bovada2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.29%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.16%E -2.33%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-08 20:39
Bet Right2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.29%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 18:20
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 15:49
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 14:59
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 21:59
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 16:12
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 14:58
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 14:59
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 15:59
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 20:39
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 14:59
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:29
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.77%E -3.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-08 14:59
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.77%E -3.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-08 15:59
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 15:59
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 22:29
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 15:59
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 15:59
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.76%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.38%E -4.26%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-08 14:29
MyBookie.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-08 21:39
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.09%E -1.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 22:29
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.09%E -1.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 22:29
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 21:59
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.15%E -3.05%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.16%E -2.33%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:29
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.15%E -3.05%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.16%E -2.33%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:29
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.15%E -3.05%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.16%E -2.33%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:29
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.15%E -3.05%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.16%E -2.33%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:29
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-08 22:09
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.23%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-08 22:29
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-08 22:00
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.30%E -3.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-08 22:26
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.84%E -3.93%K -9.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-08 18:09
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.91%E -4.60%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-08 22:08
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.13I 46.95%NM 46.88%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.12%0.1%2026-06-08 22:29
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-06-08 22:20
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-06-08 22:29
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-08 22:29
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-08 17:29
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%1.4%2026-06-08 22:29
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.3%2026-06-08 22:29