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Baltimore Orioles v New York Yankees
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Prediction 42.54%2.35fair odd
EV +1.25%
Edge +0.525%
Kelly +0.905%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.36%42.65%42.51%44.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.272.262.3847.62%44.01%44.25%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Yankees (Visit)
Prediction 57.46%1.74fair odd
EV -0.597%
Edge -0.345%
Kelly -0.817%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.26%57.35%57.49%59.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.651.671.7362.89%60.50%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 42.54%; New York Yankees (Visit): 57.46%. For Baltimore Orioles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.35. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV +1.25%E +0.525%K +0.905%G +0.011% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -6.34%E -3.89%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-11 22:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 22:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 22:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 21:28 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 22:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 22:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 22:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 22:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 22:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 22:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -8.64%E -5.43%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 22:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.453%E -0.194%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-11 22:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.879%E -0.377%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.89%E -1.71%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-11 21:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -0.879%E -0.377%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-11 22:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.879%E -0.377%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.07%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 22:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.879%E -0.377%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.07%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 22:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.879%E -0.377%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.07%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 22:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.879%E -0.377%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.07%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 22:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.30%E -0.562%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-11 21:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.30%E -0.562%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-11 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.30%E -0.562%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-11 22:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.73%E -0.749%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-11 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.15%E -0.937%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.75%E -1.02%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-11 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.15%E -0.937%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-11 16:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.15%E -0.937%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-11 21:08 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.15%E -0.937%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.07%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 15:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.01%E -1.32%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 22:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.86%E -1.71%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 20:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.86%E -1.71%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.19%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 21:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 18:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 20:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 22:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 22:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 16:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 22:18 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 22:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.19%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 21:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.19%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 20:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.19%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 20:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.19%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 20:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.19%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 21:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 20:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.07%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 21:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -4.71%E -2.10%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 21:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.41%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 22:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.41%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 22:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.41%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 22:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.41%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.34%E -3.89%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 22:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.41%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 20:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.83%E -3.12%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -7.26%E -3.33%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -0.597%E -0.345%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-11 22:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.26%E -3.33%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 22:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.26%E -3.33%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 22:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.54%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.89%E -1.71%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 22:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 22:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 22:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 22:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-05-11 22:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-05-11 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-05-11 22:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-05-11 22:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 0.8% | 2026-05-11 22:34 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-05-11 22:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 1.5% | 2026-05-11 22:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.1% | 2026-05-11 22:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.3% | 2026-05-11 22:34 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15% | 3.7% | 2026-05-11 22:29 |