A Escola das Odds

Baltimore Orioles v New York Yankees

Início: 2026-05-11 22:36 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 3–2 New York Yankees

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Previsão 42.54%2.35odd justa
EV +1.25%
Vantagem +0.525%
Kelly +0.905%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.36%42.65%42.51%44.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.272.262.3847.62%44.01%44.25%42.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Previsão 57.46%1.74odd justa
EV -0.597%
Vantagem -0.345%
Kelly -0.817%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.26%57.35%57.49%59.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.591.651.671.7362.89%60.50%59.88%57.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV +1.25%E +0.525%K +0.905%G +0.011%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -6.34%E -3.89%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 22:34
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 22:29
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 22:29
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 21:28
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 22:29
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 22:30
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 22:29
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 22:29
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 22:30
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 22:29
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 22:29
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -8.64%E -5.43%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 22:04
GTbets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.453%E -0.194%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-11 22:29
Everygame2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.879%E -0.377%K -0.661%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.89%E -1.71%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-11 21:49
BetUS2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -0.879%E -0.377%K -0.661%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-11 22:29
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.879%E -0.377%K -0.661%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.07%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 22:29
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.879%E -0.377%K -0.661%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.07%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 22:29
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.879%E -0.377%K -0.661%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.07%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 22:29
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.879%E -0.377%K -0.661%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.07%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 22:30
theScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.30%E -0.562%K -0.988%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-11 21:39
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.30%E -0.562%K -0.988%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-11 22:30
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.30%E -0.562%K -0.988%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-11 22:30
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.73%E -0.749%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-11 17:09
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.15%E -0.937%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.75%E -1.02%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-11 22:20
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.15%E -0.937%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 16:35
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.15%E -0.937%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 21:08
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.15%E -0.937%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.07%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 15:49
FanDuel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.01%E -1.32%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 22:00
MyBookie.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.86%E -1.71%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 20:19
Bet Right2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.86%E -1.71%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.19%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 21:24
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 18:44
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 20:14
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 22:34
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 22:34
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 16:19
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 22:18
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 22:24
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.19%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 21:59
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.19%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 20:19
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.19%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 20:19
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.19%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 20:19
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.19%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 21:19
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 20:14
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.07%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 21:59
DraftKings2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -4.71%E -2.10%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 21:25
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.41%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 22:29
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.41%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:30
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.41%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 22:19
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.41%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.34%E -3.89%K -10.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 22:30
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.41%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 20:14
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.83%E -3.12%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 22:30
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -7.26%E -3.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -0.597%E -0.345%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-11 22:34
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.26%E -3.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 22:30
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.26%E -3.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 22:29
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.54%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.89%E -1.71%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 22:35
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 22:24
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 22:34
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 22:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-05-11 22:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-05-11 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-05-11 22:35
Novig2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-11 22:34
ProphetX2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-05-11 22:34
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-05-11 22:35
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%1.5%2026-05-11 22:35
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.1%2026-05-11 22:35
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-05-11 22:34
BetOpenly2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%3.7%2026-05-11 22:29