مدرسة الاحتمالات

Baltimore Orioles v New York Yankees

البداية: 2026-05-11 22:36 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Baltimore Orioles 3–2 New York Yankees

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.54%2.35السعر العادل
EV +1.25%
الأفضلية +0.525%
Kelly +0.905%
النمو +0.011%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.36%42.65%42.51%44.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.272.262.3847.62%44.01%44.25%42.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

New York Yankees (الضيف)

التنبؤ 57.46%1.74السعر العادل
EV -0.597%
الأفضلية -0.345%
Kelly -0.817%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.73

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.26%57.35%57.49%59.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.591.651.671.7362.89%60.50%59.88%57.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV +1.25%E +0.525%K +0.905%G +0.011%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -6.34%E -3.89%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 22:34
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 22:29
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 22:29
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 21:28
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 22:29
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 22:30
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 22:29
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 22:29
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 22:30
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 22:29
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 22:29
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -0.028%E -0.012%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -8.64%E -5.43%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 22:04
GTbets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.453%E -0.194%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-11 22:29
Everygame2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.879%E -0.377%K -0.661%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.89%E -1.71%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-11 21:49
BetUS2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -0.879%E -0.377%K -0.661%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-11 22:29
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.879%E -0.377%K -0.661%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.07%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 22:29
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.879%E -0.377%K -0.661%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.07%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 22:29
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.879%E -0.377%K -0.661%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.07%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 22:29
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.879%E -0.377%K -0.661%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.07%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 22:30
theScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.30%E -0.562%K -0.988%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-11 21:39
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.30%E -0.562%K -0.988%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-11 22:30
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.30%E -0.562%K -0.988%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-11 22:30
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.73%E -0.749%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-11 17:09
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.15%E -0.937%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.75%E -1.02%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-11 22:20
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.15%E -0.937%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 16:35
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.15%E -0.937%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 21:08
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.15%E -0.937%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.07%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 15:49
FanDuel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.01%E -1.32%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 22:00
MyBookie.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.86%E -1.71%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 20:19
Bet Right2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.86%E -1.71%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.19%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 21:24
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 18:44
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 20:14
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 22:34
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 22:34
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 16:19
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 22:18
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 22:24
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.19%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 21:59
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.19%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 20:19
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.19%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 20:19
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.19%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 20:19
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.19%E -3.15%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 21:19
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 20:14
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.07%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 21:59
DraftKings2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -4.71%E -2.10%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 21:25
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.41%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 22:29
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.41%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:30
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.41%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 22:19
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.41%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.34%E -3.89%K -10.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 22:30
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.41%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 20:14
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.83%E -3.12%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 22:30
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -7.26%E -3.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -0.597%E -0.345%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-11 22:34
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.26%E -3.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 22:30
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.26%E -3.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 22:29
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.54%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.89%E -1.71%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 22:35
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 22:24
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 22:34
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.66%E -5.08%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 22:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-05-11 22:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-05-11 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-05-11 22:35
Novig2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-11 22:34
ProphetX2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-05-11 22:34
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-05-11 22:35
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%1.5%2026-05-11 22:35
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.1%2026-05-11 22:35
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-05-11 22:34
BetOpenly2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%3.7%2026-05-11 22:29