Language:English
Baltimore Orioles v New York Yankees
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Prediction 44.70%2.24fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.553%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.79%44.55%46.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.2150.00%46.71%46.51%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Yankees (Visit)
Prediction 55.30%1.81fair odd
EV -0.453%
Edge -0.252%
Kelly -0.566%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.33%55.21%55.45%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.721.8060.61%58.00%58.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 44.70%; New York Yankees (Visit): 55.30%. For New York Yankees (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.80, with an expected value of -0.453%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.22%E -0.553%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.22%E -1.84%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.67%E -0.759%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-12 19:57 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.67%E -0.759%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 22:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.67%E -0.759%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.64%E -4.58%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.67%E -0.759%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.64%E -4.58%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 17:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.67%E -0.759%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.75%E -5.30%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -2.12%E -0.966%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -2.12%E -0.966%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -6.54%E -3.87%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 22:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.56%E -0.876%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -2.66%E -1.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-12 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.88%E -2.84%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 22:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 20:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.01%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.01%E -0.562%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.01%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 20:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -0.453%E -0.252%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-12 22:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.01%E -0.562%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-12 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.56%E -0.876%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.56%E -0.876%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.66%E -1.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.54%E -3.87%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.54%E -3.87%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 22:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 22:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 21:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.64%E -4.58%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 20:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.64%E -4.58%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 19:57 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.35%E -2.03%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.35%E -2.03%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.22%E -1.84%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 22:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.88%E -2.84%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.88%E -2.84%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.88%E -2.84%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.88%E -2.84%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.11%E -1.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.11%E -1.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.88%E -2.84%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.64%E -4.58%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.59%E -3.15%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -7.03%E -3.38%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.56%E -0.876%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.66%E -1.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.61%E -5.30%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.22%E -1.84%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 22:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.61%E -5.30%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31% | -0.1% | 2026-05-12 22:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28% | 1.6% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.0% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |