La escuela de los momios

Baltimore Orioles v New York Yankees

Inicio: 2026-05-12 22:36 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 2–6 New York Yankees

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Predicción 44.70%2.24momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.553%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.79%44.55%46.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.152.2150.00%46.71%46.51%45.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Predicción 55.30%1.81momio equitativo
EV -0.453%
Ventaja -0.252%
Kelly -0.566%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.33%55.21%55.45%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.721.721.8060.61%58.00%58.14%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetUS2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.22%E -0.553%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.22%E -1.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-12 22:35
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.67%E -0.759%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 19:57
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.67%E -0.759%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 22:00
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.67%E -0.759%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.64%E -4.58%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:25
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.67%E -0.759%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.64%E -4.58%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 17:30
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.67%E -0.759%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.75%E -5.30%K -13.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 17:15
MyBookie.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -2.12%E -0.966%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 22:05
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -2.12%E -0.966%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -6.54%E -3.87%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 22:05
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.56%E -0.876%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-12 22:25
BetAnything2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -2.66%E -1.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-12 22:05
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.88%E -2.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 22:25
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 22:14
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 19:45
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 20:10
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.01%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.01%E -0.562%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-12 22:15
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.01%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 20:09
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -0.453%E -0.252%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-12 22:05
Everygame2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.01%E -0.562%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-12 22:20
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.56%E -0.876%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-12 22:25
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.56%E -0.876%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-12 22:25
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.66%E -1.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 22:15
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.54%E -3.87%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 22:00
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.54%E -3.87%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 22:05
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:25
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:35
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:15
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:15
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:15
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:00
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 21:59
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:15
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:45
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:45
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.64%E -4.58%K -11.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 20:10
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.64%E -4.58%K -11.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 19:57
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.35%E -2.03%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 22:30
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.35%E -2.03%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 22:30
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.22%E -1.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 22:34
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.88%E -2.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:30
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.88%E -2.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:30
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.88%E -2.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:30
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.88%E -2.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:30
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.11%E -1.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 22:25
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.11%E -1.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 22:15
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.88%E -2.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 22:10
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.64%E -4.58%K -11.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 22:20
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.59%E -3.15%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:00
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -7.03%E -3.38%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.56%E -0.876%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 22:35
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.66%E -1.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 22:35
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 22:35
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.61%E -5.30%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.22%E -1.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 22:29
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.61%E -5.30%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 22:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31%-0.1%2026-05-12 22:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-05-12 22:35
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-12 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-12 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-12 22:35
ProphetX2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-12 22:35
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%1.6%2026-05-12 22:35
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-05-12 22:35
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-05-12 22:30
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-05-12 22:35