A Escola das Odds

Baltimore Orioles v New York Yankees

Início: 2026-05-12 22:36 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 2–6 New York Yankees

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Previsão 44.70%2.24odd justa
EV -1.22%
Vantagem -0.553%
Kelly -1.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%44.79%44.55%46.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.142.152.2150.00%46.71%46.51%45.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Previsão 55.30%1.81odd justa
EV -0.453%
Vantagem -0.252%
Kelly -0.566%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.33%55.21%55.45%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.721.721.8060.61%58.00%58.14%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetUS2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.22%E -0.553%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.22%E -1.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-12 22:35
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.67%E -0.759%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 19:57
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.67%E -0.759%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 22:00
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.67%E -0.759%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.64%E -4.58%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:25
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.67%E -0.759%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.64%E -4.58%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 17:30
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.67%E -0.759%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.75%E -5.30%K -13.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 17:15
MyBookie.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -2.12%E -0.966%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 22:05
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -2.12%E -0.966%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -6.54%E -3.87%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 22:05
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.56%E -0.876%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-12 22:25
BetAnything2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -2.66%E -1.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-12 22:05
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.88%E -2.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 22:25
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 22:14
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 19:45
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 20:10
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.01%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.01%E -0.562%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-12 22:15
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.01%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 20:09
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -0.453%E -0.252%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-12 22:05
Everygame2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.01%E -0.562%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-12 22:20
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.56%E -0.876%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-12 22:25
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.56%E -0.876%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-12 22:25
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.66%E -1.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 22:15
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.54%E -3.87%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 22:00
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.54%E -3.87%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 22:05
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:25
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:35
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:15
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:15
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:15
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:00
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 21:59
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:15
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:45
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:45
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.64%E -4.58%K -11.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 20:10
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.64%E -4.58%K -11.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 19:57
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.35%E -2.03%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 22:30
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.35%E -2.03%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 22:30
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.22%E -1.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 22:34
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.88%E -2.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:30
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.88%E -2.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:30
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.88%E -2.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:30
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.88%E -2.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:30
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.11%E -1.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 22:25
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.11%E -1.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 22:15
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.88%E -2.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 22:10
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.64%E -4.58%K -11.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 22:20
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.59%E -3.15%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:00
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -7.03%E -3.38%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.56%E -0.876%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 22:35
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.66%E -1.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 22:35
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 22:35
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.61%E -5.30%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.22%E -1.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 22:29
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.61%E -5.30%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 22:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31%-0.1%2026-05-12 22:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-05-12 22:35
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-12 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-12 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-12 22:35
ProphetX2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-12 22:35
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%1.6%2026-05-12 22:35
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-05-12 22:35
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-05-12 22:30
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-05-12 22:35