مدرسة الاحتمالات

Baltimore Orioles v New York Yankees

البداية: 2026-05-12 22:36 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Baltimore Orioles 2–6 New York Yankees

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.70%2.24السعر العادل
EV -1.22%
الأفضلية -0.553%
Kelly -1.01%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.21

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.86%44.79%44.55%46.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.142.152.2150.00%46.71%46.51%45.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

New York Yankees (الضيف)

التنبؤ 55.30%1.81السعر العادل
EV -0.453%
الأفضلية -0.252%
Kelly -0.566%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.33%55.21%55.45%57.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.721.721.8060.61%58.00%58.14%55.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
BetUS2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.22%E -0.553%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.22%E -1.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-12 22:35
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.67%E -0.759%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 19:57
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.67%E -0.759%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 22:00
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.67%E -0.759%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.64%E -4.58%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:25
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.67%E -0.759%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.64%E -4.58%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 17:30
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.67%E -0.759%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.75%E -5.30%K -13.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 17:15
MyBookie.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -2.12%E -0.966%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 22:05
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -2.12%E -0.966%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -6.54%E -3.87%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 22:05
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.56%E -0.876%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-12 22:25
BetAnything2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -2.66%E -1.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-12 22:05
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.88%E -2.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 22:25
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 22:14
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 19:45
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 20:10
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.01%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.01%E -0.562%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-12 22:15
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.01%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 20:09
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -0.453%E -0.252%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-12 22:05
Everygame2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.01%E -0.562%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-12 22:20
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.56%E -0.876%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-12 22:25
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.56%E -0.876%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-12 22:25
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.66%E -1.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 22:15
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.54%E -3.87%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 22:00
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.54%E -3.87%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 22:05
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:25
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:35
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:15
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:15
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:15
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:00
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 21:59
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:15
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:45
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:45
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.64%E -4.58%K -11.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 20:10
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.64%E -4.58%K -11.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 19:57
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.35%E -2.03%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 22:30
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.35%E -2.03%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 22:30
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.22%E -1.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 22:34
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:30
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.88%E -2.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:30
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.88%E -2.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:30
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.88%E -2.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:30
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.88%E -2.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:30
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.11%E -1.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 22:25
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.11%E -1.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 22:15
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.88%E -2.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 22:10
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.64%E -4.58%K -11.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 22:20
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.59%E -3.15%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:00
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -7.03%E -3.38%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.56%E -0.876%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 22:35
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.66%E -1.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 22:35
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 22:35
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.61%E -5.30%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.22%E -1.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 22:29
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.61%E -5.30%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 22:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31%-0.1%2026-05-12 22:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-05-12 22:35
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-12 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-12 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-12 22:35
ProphetX2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-12 22:35
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%1.6%2026-05-12 22:35
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-05-12 22:35
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-05-12 22:30
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-05-12 22:35