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Baltimore Orioles v Cleveland Guardians

2026-09-08 22:36 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prediction 52.91%1.89fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.569%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.17%53.00%52.88%54.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.791.801.8758.14%55.81%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 47.09%2.12fair odd
EV -0.163%
Edge -0.077%
Kelly -0.145%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.03%47.00%47.12%47.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.032.052.1252.08%49.24%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 52.91%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 47.09%. For Cleveland Guardians (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.123. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.120, with an expected value of -0.163%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.06%E -0.569%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.46%E -1.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-07 18:20
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.06%E -0.569%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.46%E -1.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-07 19:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.06%E -0.569%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.93%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-07 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.06%E -0.569%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.93%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-07 17:34
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.59%E -0.857%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.52%E -1.22%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-07 18:30
Caesars🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.65%E -1.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.05%E -0.984%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 18:55
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.18%E -1.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -5.34%E -2.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 19:09
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.18%E -1.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.81%E -2.91%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 18:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.18%E -1.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.81%E -2.91%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 18:40
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.46%E -1.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 19:10
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.46%E -1.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 18:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.46%E -1.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.46%E -1.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 19:05
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.46%E -1.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 18:25
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 19:10
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 19:05
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.81%E -2.91%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 18:25
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.81%E -2.91%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 17:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.81%E -2.91%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.23%E -3.67%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.30%E -2.96%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.81%E -2.91%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:24
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.83%E -3.27%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.46%E -1.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 18:25
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.83%E -3.27%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.46%E -1.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.35%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.46%E -1.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 19:05
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.35%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 18:25
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -6.88%E -3.91%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -0.163%E -0.077%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.88%E -3.91%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.46%E -1.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 18:25
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -0.633%E -0.300%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 18:44
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.46%E -1.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.46%E -1.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.46%E -1.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:25
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.81%E -2.91%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 18:24
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.81%E -2.91%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 18:24
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.47%E -4.90%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.10%E -0.526%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:33
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -8.47%E -4.90%K -11.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -9.58%E -4.99%K -10.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-07 18:24
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -9.00%E -5.23%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.10%E -0.526%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 17:33
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -9.00%E -5.23%K -12.50%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -9.58%E -4.99%K -10.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-07 19:10
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-07 18:55
Novig◎1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%4.0%2026-09-07 19:15
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%9.9%2026-09-07 18:25