StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Baltimore Orioles v Cleveland Guardians

2026-09-08 22:36 UTC — MLB

Matchresultat

41 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Baltimore Orioles (Hemma)

Prognos 53.17%1.88rättvist odds
EV -0.566%
Fördel -0.303%
Kelly -0.651%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.87

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
52.17%53.17%53.25%54.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.701.781.781.8758.82%56.03%56.18%53.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Borta)

Prognos 46.83%2.14rättvist odds
EV -0.727%
Fördel -0.343%
Kelly -0.649%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.12

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
45.03%46.83%46.75%47.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.922.042.052.1252.08%49.13%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Baltimore Orioles (Hemma): 53.17%; Cleveland Guardians (Borta): 46.83%. För Baltimore Orioles (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.88. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 1.87, med väntevärdet -0.566%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (41 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.566%E -0.303%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-07 18:20
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.566%E -0.303%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-07 19:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -0.566%E -0.303%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -4.47%E -2.19%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-07 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -0.566%E -0.303%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -4.47%E -2.19%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-07 17:34
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.10%E -0.590%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.07%E -1.48%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-07 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -5.88%E -2.92%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 19:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.35%E -3.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 18:40
Caesars🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.22%E -1.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.727%E -0.343%K -0.649%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-07 20:28
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 19:40
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 18:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 19:05
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.47%E -2.19%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 19:40
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.41%E -2.68%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.41%E -2.68%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 19:05
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.35%E -3.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 18:25
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.35%E -3.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 17:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.75%E -3.93%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 18:25
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.35%E -3.01%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.35%E -3.01%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -5.88%E -2.92%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 19:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.35%E -3.01%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.35%E -3.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 19:39
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 20:35
betfred_uk🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 19:40
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 19:40
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 19:05
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -6.42%E -3.65%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -0.727%E -0.343%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.42%E -3.65%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 18:25
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -1.20%E -0.567%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 18:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.66%E -0.792%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 20:05
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:25
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.35%E -3.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 18:24
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.35%E -3.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 18:24
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -7.28%E -3.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 20:35
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.69%E -4.46%K -9.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 19:40
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.01%E -4.63%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.66%E -0.792%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:33
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.54%E -4.97%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.66%E -0.792%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 17:33
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -8.54%E -4.97%K -11.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -9.62%E -4.99%K -10.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 19:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -9.61%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -10.09%E -5.26%K -10.97%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-07 19:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-07 19:10
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-07 18:55
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%2.0%2026-09-07 20:30
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%10.0%2026-09-07 19:40