Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-09-08 22:37 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 5–9 Cleveland Guardians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Previsão 52.39%1.91odd justa
EV -1.50%
Vantagem -0.799%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.59%52.43%52.36%54.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.721.821.821.8858.14%54.85%54.95%53.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 47.61%2.10odd justa
EV -0.025%
Vantagem -0.012%
Kelly -0.023%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.03%47.57%47.64%48.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.932.012.002.1051.81%49.75%50.00%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 52.39%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 47.61%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.101. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.100, com valor esperado de -0.025%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.50%E -0.799%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.41%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-08 21:50
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.50%E -0.799%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.88%E -1.41%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-08 22:04
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.50%E -0.799%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.88%E -1.41%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-08 22:20
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.03%E -1.08%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.41%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-08 22:10
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.03%E -1.08%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.41%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-08 14:50
Everygame🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.03%E -1.08%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.41%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-08 19:51
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.03%E -1.08%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.88%E -1.41%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-08 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.03%E -1.08%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.88%E -1.41%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-08 22:10
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.41%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-08 19:39
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.41%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-08 19:40
theScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.88%E -1.41%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-08 14:40
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.88%E -1.41%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-08 21:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -4.31%E -2.14%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 20:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 20:15
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 14:38
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.41%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-08 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -2.88%E -1.41%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 22:20
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.83%E -1.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 20:15
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 14:49
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 17:04
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 22:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 18:34
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 20:45
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 20:45
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 18:09
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.74%E -2.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.74%E -2.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 20:44
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.74%E -2.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 14:35
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.74%E -2.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 14:35
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.17%E -3.67%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 22:09
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.83%E -1.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 18:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.83%E -1.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 20:25
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.83%E -1.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.83%E -1.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 20:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.83%E -1.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 20:25
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.83%E -1.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 20:25
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.83%E -1.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 20:25
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.83%E -1.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.83%E -1.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 20:25
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.83%E -1.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 20:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.83%E -1.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 20:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 19:35
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 18:14
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 22:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.26%E -2.64%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 21:50
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.17%E -2.86%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 20:15
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.88%E -1.41%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 22:20
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.83%E -1.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 19:40
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 12:50
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 14:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 14:40
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 20:25
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 14:19
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.17%E -3.67%K -7.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 20:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -6.22%E -3.47%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -5.74%E -2.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 20:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -6.22%E -3.47%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -5.74%E -2.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 20:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.74%E -3.79%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.74%E -2.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 18:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.26%E -4.10%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.79%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.26%E -4.10%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.64%E -3.94%K -8.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 22:10
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.59%EV -8.84%E -5.08%K -11.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.41%EV -8.12%E -4.21%K -8.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 20:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -9.88%E -5.75%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -0.025%E -0.012%K -0.023%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 15:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-09-08 20:35
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-09-08 14:20
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-09-08 13:55
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-09-08 22:20
ProphetX◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-09-08 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-09-08 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-09-08 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-09-08 22:15
BetOpenly◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-09-08 22:15
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%2.7%2026-09-08 22:20