The School of OddsBaltimore Orioles v Chicago Cubs
Head to Head
Option 1: Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Odds
1.8454.35%Min
1.9551.40%Mean
1.9451.68%Median
2.0548.78%Max
Consensus probabilities
47.70%2.096Min
50.00%2.000Max
48.79%2.049Mean
49.02%2.040Median
48.86%2.046IQM
48.68%2.054Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.05 under the IQM model: 48.86%
EV +0.172%Edge +0.084%Kelly +0.163%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Odds
1.7856.18%Min
1.8653.73%Mean
1.8753.48%Median
1.9152.36%Max
Consensus probabilities
50.00%2.000Min
52.30%1.912Max
51.21%1.953Mean
50.98%1.962Median
51.14%1.956IQM
51.32%1.949Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.91 under the IQM model: 51.14%
EV -2.33%Edge -1.22%Kelly -2.56%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Baltimore Orioles (Local) ▼ | Chicago Cubs (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 2.05I 48.78% NM 47.70%EV +0.172% E +0.084% K +0.163% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 52.30%EV -4.38% E -2.34% K -5.03% G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-06 17:44 |
| BetUS | 2.04I 49.02% NM 47.96%EV -0.317% E -0.155% K -0.305% G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19% NM 52.04%EV -3.86% E -2.06% K -4.39% G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-06 19:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.04I 49.02% NM 47.83%EV -0.317% E -0.155% K -0.305% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 52.17%EV -4.38% E -2.34% K -5.03% G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-06 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.04I 49.02% NM 47.83%EV -0.317% E -0.155% K -0.305% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 52.17%EV -4.38% E -2.34% K -5.03% G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-06 17:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.01I 49.75% NM 48.72%EV -1.78% E -0.887% K -1.77% G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36% NM 51.28%EV -2.33% E -1.22% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-06 17:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -2.27% E -1.14% K -2.27% G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -6.42% E -3.51% K -7.74% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-06 17:35 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -2.27% E -1.14% K -2.27% G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -6.42% E -3.51% K -7.74% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-06 20:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.96I 51.02% NM 49.09%EV -4.23% E -2.16% K -4.40% G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91% NM 50.91%EV -3.35% E -1.77% K -3.77% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-06 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -4.71% E -2.42% K -4.96% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -4.38% E -2.34% K -5.03% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 17:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -4.71% E -2.42% K -4.96% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -4.38% E -2.34% K -5.03% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 19:59 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28% NM 48.41%EV -4.71% E -2.42% K -4.96% G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64% NM 51.59%EV -6.42% E -3.51% K -7.74% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 17:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.94I 51.55% NM 49.21%EV -5.20% E -2.68% K -5.54% G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19% NM 50.79%EV -3.86% E -2.06% K -4.39% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 20:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.94I 51.55% NM 49.08%EV -5.20% E -2.68% K -5.54% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 50.92%EV -4.38% E -2.34% K -5.03% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 20:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55% NM 48.95%EV -5.20% E -2.68% K -5.54% G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76% NM 51.05%EV -4.89% E -2.63% K -5.68% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 17:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81% NM 49.34%EV -5.69% E -2.95% K -6.12% G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19% NM 50.66%EV -3.86% E -2.06% K -4.39% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 18:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.93I 51.81% NM 48.94%EV -5.69% E -2.95% K -6.12% G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05% NM 51.06%EV -5.40% E -2.92% K -6.35% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 17:29 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.92I 52.08% NM 49.74%EV -6.18% E -3.22% K -6.72% G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63% NM 50.26%EV -2.84% E -1.50% K -3.16% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 20:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.92I 52.08% NM 49.47%EV -6.18% E -3.22% K -6.72% G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19% NM 50.53%EV -3.86% E -2.06% K -4.39% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -6.67% E -3.49% K -7.33% G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -2.33% E -1.22% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 18:54 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -6.67% E -3.49% K -7.33% G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -2.33% E -1.22% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 19:23 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36% NM 49.20%EV -6.67% E -3.49% K -7.33% G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05% NM 50.80%EV -5.40% E -2.92% K -6.35% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 20:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36% NM 49.20%EV -6.67% E -3.49% K -7.33% G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05% NM 50.80%EV -5.40% E -2.92% K -6.35% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 20:39 |
| Bet Victor | 1.91I 52.36% NM 49.20%EV -6.67% E -3.49% K -7.33% G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05% NM 50.80%EV -5.40% E -2.92% K -6.35% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 17:54 |
| ReBet | 1.91I 52.36% NM 48.52%EV -6.67% E -3.49% K -7.33% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 51.48%EV -7.96% E -4.42% K -9.94% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-06 17:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -7.16% E -3.77% K -7.95% G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -2.84% E -1.50% K -3.16% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -7.16% E -3.77% K -7.95% G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -2.84% E -1.50% K -3.16% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 17:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.86I 53.76% NM 48.90%EV -9.11% E -4.90% K -10.60% G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18% NM 51.10%EV -8.98% E -5.04% K -11.51% G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-06 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35% NM 49.17%EV -10.09% E -5.48% K -12.01% G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18% NM 50.83%EV -8.98% E -5.04% K -11.51% G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-06 17:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Baltimore Orioles (Local) | Chicago Cubs (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00% NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02% NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-06 19:55 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00% NM 49.11% | 1.93I 51.81% NM 50.89% | 1.8% | 2026-07-06 20:20 |
| Novig | 1.90I 52.63% NM 49.06% | 1.83I 54.64% NM 50.94% | 7.3% | 2026-07-06 20:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.86I 53.76% NM 48.90% | 1.78I 56.18% NM 51.10% | 9.9% | 2026-07-06 17:30 |