Language:English
Baltimore Orioles v Chicago Cubs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Prediction 49.39%2.02fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.612%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%49.29%49.21%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.941.952.0053.19%51.57%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Prediction 50.61%1.98fair odd
EV -0.801%
Edge -0.409%
Kelly -0.834%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.71%50.79%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.871.871.9656.82%53.38%53.48%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 49.39%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 50.61%. For Chicago Cubs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.98. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.96, with an expected value of -0.801%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.22%E -0.612%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.22%E -0.612%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.21%E -1.12%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.32%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.71%E -1.37%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.32%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-07 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.71%E -1.37%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.71%E -1.37%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.71%E -1.37%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.801%E -0.409%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-07 22:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.801%E -0.409%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.34%E -2.30%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.87%E -3.74%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.87%E -3.74%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -7.89%E -4.33%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.31%E -0.670%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-07 23:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.31%E -0.670%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-07 23:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.31%E -0.670%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-07 23:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.31%E -0.670%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-07 23:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.36%E -2.86%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 19:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.36%E -2.86%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 14:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.36%E -2.86%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.16%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.85%E -2.58%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 22:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.16%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.85%E -2.58%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.19%E -2.16%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.86%E -3.15%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.68%E -2.43%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.85%E -2.58%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 22:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.68%E -2.43%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -4.68%E -2.43%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.89%E -4.33%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.17%E -2.70%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.84%E -2.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 22:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.17%E -2.70%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.34%E -2.30%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 22:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.17%E -2.70%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.85%E -2.58%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 23:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.17%E -2.70%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.85%E -2.58%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 23:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 22:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 22:13 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 22:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 14:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 14:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.84%E -2.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 14:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.84%E -2.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.84%E -2.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 22:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.84%E -2.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 22:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.36%E -2.86%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-07 23:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -10.92%E -6.21%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.62% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.38% | 0.3% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-07 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-07-07 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-07 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-07 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00% | 1.5% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.98% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02% | 1.6% | 2026-07-07 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-07-07 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55% | 9.3% | 2026-07-07 23:29 |
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