Język:Polski
Baltimore Orioles v Chicago Cubs
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Baltimore Orioles (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 49.39%2.02kurs godziwy
EV -1.22%
Przewaga -0.612%
Kelly -1.22%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
47.37%49.29%49.21%50.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.881.941.952.0053.19%51.57%51.28%50.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Chicago Cubs (Goście)
Prognoza 50.61%1.98kurs godziwy
EV -0.801%
Przewaga -0.409%
Kelly -0.834%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.96
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
50.00%50.71%50.79%52.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.761.871.871.9656.82%53.38%53.48%51.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Baltimore Orioles (Gospodarze): 49.39%; Chicago Cubs (Goście): 50.61%. Dla wyniku Chicago Cubs (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 1.98. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 1.96, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.801%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.22%E -0.612%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.22%E -0.612%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.21%E -1.12%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.32%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.71%E -1.37%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.32%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-07 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.71%E -1.37%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.71%E -1.37%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.71%E -1.37%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.801%E -0.409%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-07 22:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.801%E -0.409%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.34%E -2.30%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.87%E -3.74%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.87%E -3.74%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -7.89%E -4.33%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.31%E -0.670%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-07 23:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.31%E -0.670%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-07 23:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.31%E -0.670%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-07 23:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.31%E -0.670%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-07 23:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.36%E -2.86%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 19:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.36%E -2.86%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 14:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.36%E -2.86%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.16%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.85%E -2.58%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 22:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.16%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.85%E -2.58%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.19%E -2.16%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.86%E -3.15%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.68%E -2.43%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.85%E -2.58%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 22:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.68%E -2.43%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -4.68%E -2.43%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.89%E -4.33%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.17%E -2.70%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.84%E -2.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 22:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.17%E -2.70%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.34%E -2.30%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 22:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.17%E -2.70%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.85%E -2.58%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 23:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.17%E -2.70%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.85%E -2.58%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 23:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 22:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 22:13 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 22:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 14:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 14:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.84%E -2.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 14:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.84%E -2.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.84%E -2.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 22:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.84%E -2.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 22:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.36%E -2.86%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-07 23:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -10.92%E -6.21%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (9)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.62% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.38% | 0.3% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-07 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-07-07 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-07 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-07 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00% | 1.5% | 2026-07-07 23:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.98% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02% | 1.6% | 2026-07-07 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-07-07 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55% | 9.3% | 2026-07-07 23:29 |