Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-07-07 23:31 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 2–5 Chicago Cubs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Previsão 49.39%2.02odd justa
EV -1.22%
Vantagem -0.612%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%49.29%49.21%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.881.941.952.0053.19%51.57%51.28%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 50.61%1.98odd justa
EV -0.801%
Vantagem -0.409%
Kelly -0.834%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%50.71%50.79%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.761.871.871.9656.82%53.38%53.48%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 49.39%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 50.61%. Para Chicago Cubs (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.98. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.96, com valor esperado de -0.801%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.22%E -0.612%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 23:25
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.22%E -0.612%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 23:25
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.21%E -1.12%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.32%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 23:25
Everygame🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.71%E -1.37%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.32%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.71%E -1.37%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.71%E -1.37%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.71%E -1.37%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 23:25
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.801%E -0.409%K -0.834%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-07 22:15
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.801%E -0.409%K -0.834%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-07 22:50
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.34%E -2.30%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 22:50
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:25
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:25
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:25
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.87%E -3.74%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.87%E -3.74%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 23:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -3.20%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -7.89%E -4.33%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.31%E -0.670%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 23:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.31%E -0.670%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 23:15
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.31%E -0.670%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 23:15
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.31%E -0.670%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 23:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.36%E -2.86%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 19:59
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.36%E -2.86%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 14:45
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.36%E -2.86%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 15:15
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 23:25
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 23:25
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.85%E -2.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 22:29
DraftKings🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.85%E -2.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 19:30
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.19%E -2.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.86%E -3.15%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.68%E -2.43%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.85%E -2.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 22:29
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.68%E -2.43%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 23:25
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -4.68%E -2.43%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.89%E -4.33%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-07 23:25
Bovada🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.17%E -2.70%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.84%E -2.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 22:40
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.17%E -2.70%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.34%E -2.30%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 22:29
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.17%E -2.70%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.85%E -2.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 23:30
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.17%E -2.70%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.85%E -2.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 23:30
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 22:20
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 22:13
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 22:14
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 14:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 14:44
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.84%E -2.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:44
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.84%E -2.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.84%E -2.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.84%E -2.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:09
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.36%E -2.86%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 23:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-07 23:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -10.92%E -6.21%K -14.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-07 23:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket2.01I 49.75%NM 49.62%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.38%0.3%2026-07-07 23:25
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-07-07 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-07-07 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-07 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-07 23:30
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%1.5%2026-07-07 23:25
ProphetX2.01I 49.75%NM 48.98%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02%1.6%2026-07-07 23:30
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-07-07 23:15
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55%9.3%2026-07-07 23:29