Language:English
Baltimore Orioles v Arizona Diamondbacks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Prediction 55.22%1.81fair odd
EV -0.605%
Edge -0.336%
Kelly -0.756%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.48%55.12%55.24%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.751.8059.88%57.49%57.31%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)
Prediction 44.78%2.23fair odd
EV -0.139%
Edge -0.062%
Kelly -0.113%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.88%44.76%46.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.122.2350.00%47.11%47.17%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 55.22%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 44.78%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.233. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.230, with an expected value of -0.139%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -0.605%E -0.336%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-15 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -1.71%E -0.960%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.26%E -1.28%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -1.93%E -0.881%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-15 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.26%E -1.28%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.26%E -1.28%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.587%E -0.264%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-15 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.48%E -0.674%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-15 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.48%E -0.674%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-15 16:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.48%E -0.674%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-15 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 16:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.139%E -0.062%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-15 16:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-15 16:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-15 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 15:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 15:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 15:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.86%E -3.30%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.86%E -3.30%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.86%E -3.30%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.86%E -3.30%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 16:23 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 15:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 15:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 15:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 15:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 16:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 16:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.44%E -5.22%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-15 16:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 15:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.62%E -2.17%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 16:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 15:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-15 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 16:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.17%E -1.95%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 15:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 15:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.38%E -1.09%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.17%E -1.95%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.41%E -3.07%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 16:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.13%E -3.60%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 16:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.23%E -4.30%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 16:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.48%E -0.674%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 15:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 56.02% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.98% | -0.3% | 2026-04-15 16:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-04-15 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-04-15 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-04-15 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-04-15 16:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.5% | 2026-04-15 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.5% | 2026-04-15 16:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-04-15 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 2.4% | 2026-04-15 16:35 |