A Escola das Odds

Baltimore Orioles v Arizona Diamondbacks

Início: 2026-04-15 16:36 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 5–8 Arizona Diamondbacks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Previsão 55.22%1.81odd justa
EV -0.605%
Vantagem -0.336%
Kelly -0.756%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.48%55.12%55.24%56.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.671.741.751.8059.88%57.49%57.31%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Previsão 44.78%2.23odd justa
EV -0.139%
Vantagem -0.062%
Kelly -0.113%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.15%44.88%44.76%46.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.122.122.2350.00%47.11%47.17%44.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -0.605%E -0.336%K -0.756%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-15 16:10
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -1.71%E -0.960%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-15 16:30
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.26%E -1.28%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -1.93%E -0.881%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-15 15:40
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.26%E -1.28%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 16:30
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.26%E -1.28%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 16:30
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.587%E -0.264%K -0.481%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-15 16:20
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.48%E -0.674%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.48%E -0.674%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 16:20
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.48%E -0.674%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:30
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:30
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:30
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:30
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:30
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:30
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:30
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:30
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 16:35
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.139%E -0.062%K -0.113%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-15 16:34
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-15 16:05
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 15:15
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 15:15
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 15:15
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.86%E -3.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 16:30
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.86%E -3.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.86%E -3.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 16:30
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.86%E -3.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 16:30
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 16:23
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 15:15
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 15:20
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 15:45
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 15:20
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 16:35
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 15:15
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 16:34
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.44%E -5.22%K -10.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 16:35
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 15:19
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.62%E -2.17%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 16:05
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 16:25
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 16:25
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 15:20
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-15 16:05
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:19
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.17%E -1.95%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 16:10
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 16:20
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:25
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:25
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.38%E -1.09%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:35
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 15:55
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 15:20
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 15:20
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 15:20
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.17%E -1.95%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 16:25
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.41%E -3.07%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 16:35
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.13%E -3.60%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 16:25
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.23%E -4.30%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 16:25
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.48%E -0.674%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 15:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 56.02%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.98%-0.3%2026-04-15 16:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-04-15 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-04-15 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-04-15 16:35
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-04-15 16:35
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-15 16:30
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-04-15 16:35
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-04-15 16:35
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-04-15 16:35
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-04-15 16:35