مدرسة الاحتمالات

Baltimore Orioles v Arizona Diamondbacks

البداية: 2026-04-15 16:36 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Baltimore Orioles 5–8 Arizona Diamondbacks

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.22%1.81السعر العادل
EV -0.605%
الأفضلية -0.336%
Kelly -0.756%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.48%55.12%55.24%56.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.741.751.8059.88%57.49%57.31%55.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (الضيف)

التنبؤ 44.78%2.23السعر العادل
EV -0.139%
الأفضلية -0.062%
Kelly -0.113%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.15%44.88%44.76%46.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.122.122.2350.00%47.11%47.17%44.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -0.605%E -0.336%K -0.756%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-15 16:10
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -1.71%E -0.960%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-15 16:30
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.26%E -1.28%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -1.93%E -0.881%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-15 15:40
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.26%E -1.28%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 16:30
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.26%E -1.28%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 16:30
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.587%E -0.264%K -0.481%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-15 16:20
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.48%E -0.674%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.48%E -0.674%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 16:20
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.48%E -0.674%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:30
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:30
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:30
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:30
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:30
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:30
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:30
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:30
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 16:35
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.139%E -0.062%K -0.113%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-15 16:34
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-15 16:05
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 15:15
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 15:15
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 15:15
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.86%E -3.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 16:30
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.86%E -3.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.86%E -3.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 16:30
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.86%E -3.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 16:30
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 16:23
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 15:15
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 15:20
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 15:45
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 15:20
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 16:35
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 15:15
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 16:34
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.44%E -5.22%K -10.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 16:35
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 15:19
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.62%E -2.17%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 16:05
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 16:25
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 16:25
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 15:20
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-15 16:05
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:19
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.17%E -1.95%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 16:10
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 16:20
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:25
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:25
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.38%E -1.09%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:35
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 15:55
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 15:20
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 15:20
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 15:20
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.17%E -1.95%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 16:25
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.41%E -3.07%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 16:35
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.13%E -3.60%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 16:25
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.23%E -4.30%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 16:25
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.48%E -0.674%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 15:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 56.02%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.98%-0.3%2026-04-15 16:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-04-15 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-04-15 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-04-15 16:35
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-04-15 16:35
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-15 16:30
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-04-15 16:35
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-04-15 16:35
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-04-15 16:35
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-04-15 16:35