L’École des cotes

Baltimore Orioles v Arizona Diamondbacks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-15 16:36 UTC

Score final : Baltimore Orioles 5–8 Arizona Diamondbacks

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prévision 55.22%1.81cote équitable
EV -0.605%
Avantage -0.336%
Kelly -0.756%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.48%55.12%55.24%56.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.741.751.8059.88%57.49%57.31%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.78%2.23cote équitable
EV -0.139%
Avantage -0.062%
Kelly -0.113%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.15%44.88%44.76%46.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.122.122.2350.00%47.11%47.17%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -0.605%E -0.336%K -0.756%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-15 16:10
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -1.71%E -0.960%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-15 16:30
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.26%E -1.28%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -1.93%E -0.881%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-15 15:40
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.26%E -1.28%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 16:30
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.26%E -1.28%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 16:30
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.587%E -0.264%K -0.481%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-15 16:20
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.48%E -0.674%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.48%E -0.674%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 16:20
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.48%E -0.674%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:30
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:30
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:30
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:30
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:30
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:30
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:30
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:30
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 16:35
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.139%E -0.062%K -0.113%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-15 16:34
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-15 16:05
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 15:15
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 15:15
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 15:15
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.86%E -3.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 16:30
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.86%E -3.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.86%E -3.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 16:30
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.86%E -3.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 16:30
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 16:23
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 15:15
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 15:20
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 15:45
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 15:20
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 16:35
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 15:15
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 16:34
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.44%E -5.22%K -10.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 16:35
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 15:19
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.62%E -2.17%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 16:05
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 16:25
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 16:25
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 15:20
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.47%E -2.58%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-15 16:05
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:19
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.17%E -1.95%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 16:10
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 16:20
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:25
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:25
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.38%E -1.09%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 16:35
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 15:55
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 15:20
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 15:20
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 15:20
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.17%E -1.95%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 16:25
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.41%E -3.07%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 16:35
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.13%E -3.60%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 16:25
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.23%E -4.30%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 16:25
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.48%E -0.674%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 15:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 56.02%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.98%-0.3%2026-04-15 16:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-04-15 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-04-15 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-04-15 16:35
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-04-15 16:35
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-15 16:30
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-04-15 16:35
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-04-15 16:35
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-04-15 16:35
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-04-15 16:35