Language:English
Atlanta Braves v Washington Nationals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Braves (Local)
Prediction 58.79%1.70fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.737%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.69%58.87%58.75%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.621.621.6864.52%61.66%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visit)
Prediction 41.21%2.43fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.454%
Kelly -0.778%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.39%41.13%41.25%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.222.322.322.4045.05%43.08%43.10%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 58.79%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 41.21%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -1.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.24%E -0.737%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-30 15:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.83%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.33%E -0.981%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-30 22:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -1.83%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -3.56%E -1.52%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-30 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.91%E -0.804%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-30 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.33%E -0.981%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-30 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.33%E -0.981%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-30 23:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.91%E -0.804%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-30 20:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.33%E -0.981%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-30 20:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-30 20:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-30 20:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-30 14:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-30 18:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-30 15:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 22:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.97%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-30 20:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -6.45%E -2.84%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-30 14:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-30 19:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.97%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-30 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.97%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-30 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.97%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-30 20:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.03%E -2.65%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-30 23:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.03%E -2.65%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-30 15:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.45%E -2.84%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.45%E -2.84%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 18:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-30 23:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-30 23:13 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-30 20:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-30 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-30 23:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.56%E -1.52%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-30 20:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 20:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 20:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 20:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 20:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 20:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 20:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-30 23:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-30 20:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-30 20:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-30 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-30 20:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-30 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-30 21:28 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-30 20:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 23:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.09%E -0.454%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-30 23:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.09%E -0.454%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-30 23:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 20:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 20:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 23:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.53%E -4.11%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.09%E -0.454%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-30 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.53%E -4.11%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.09%E -0.454%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-30 23:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -6.53%E -4.11%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -8.51%E -3.83%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-30 22:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 23:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.29%E -5.32%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.09%E -0.454%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 23:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.29%E -5.32%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -8.10%E -3.63%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-30 20:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.88%E -5.73%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-30 23:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.88%E -5.73%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-30 23:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 60.43% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 39.57% | -0.9% | 2026-07-30 23:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-07-30 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-07-30 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-07-30 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-07-30 22:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-07-30 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-07-30 23:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-30 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-07-30 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-07-30 21:10 |
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