Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves v Washington Nationals

Início: 2026-07-30 23:16 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 5–4 Washington Nationals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Previsão 58.79%1.70odd justa
EV -1.24%
Vantagem -0.737%
Kelly -1.82%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.69%58.87%58.75%60.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.621.621.6864.52%61.66%61.73%59.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Previsão 41.21%2.43odd justa
EV -1.09%
Vantagem -0.454%
Kelly -0.778%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.39%41.13%41.25%42.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.222.322.322.4045.05%43.08%43.10%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Atlanta Braves (Local): 58.79%; Washington Nationals (Visitante): 41.21%. Para Washington Nationals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.43. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.40, com valor esperado de -1.09%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.24%E -0.737%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-30 15:29
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.83%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.33%E -0.981%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-30 22:05
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -1.83%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -3.56%E -1.52%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-30 23:05
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.91%E -0.804%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.33%E -0.981%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-30 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.33%E -0.981%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-30 23:09
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.91%E -0.804%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-30 20:59
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.33%E -0.981%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-30 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-30 20:40
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-30 20:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-30 20:10
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 14:35
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 18:34
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 15:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 22:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.97%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-30 20:20
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -6.45%E -2.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 14:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-30 19:14
Bovada🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.97%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.97%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 20:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.97%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.03%E -2.65%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 23:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.03%E -2.65%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 15:24
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.45%E -2.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 18:35
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.45%E -2.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 18:34
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 23:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 23:13
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 20:24
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 23:14
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.56%E -1.52%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 20:14
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 20:10
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 20:10
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 20:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 20:10
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 20:10
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 23:10
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 20:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 20:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 20:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 20:20
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 16:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 21:28
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 20:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 23:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:10
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:10
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.09%E -0.454%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 23:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.09%E -0.454%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 23:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 20:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 20:15
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 23:15
Bet Right🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.53%E -4.11%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.09%E -0.454%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 22:40
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.53%E -4.11%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.09%E -0.454%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 23:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -6.53%E -4.11%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -8.51%E -3.83%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 22:48
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 23:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.29%E -5.32%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.09%E -0.454%K -0.778%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 23:14
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.29%E -5.32%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -8.10%E -3.63%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-30 20:10
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.88%E -5.73%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 23:05
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.88%E -5.73%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 23:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.67I 59.88%NM 60.43%2.55I 39.22%NM 39.57%-0.9%2026-07-30 23:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-07-30 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-07-30 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-07-30 23:15
Novig◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-07-30 22:15
ProphetX◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-07-30 23:10
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-30 23:15
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-30 23:10
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-07-30 23:15
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-07-30 21:10