Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlanta Braves v Washington Nationals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-30 23:16 UTC

Score final : Atlanta Braves 5–4 Washington Nationals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prévision 58.79%1.70cote équitable
EV -1.24%
Avantage -0.737%
Kelly -1.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.69%58.87%58.75%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.621.621.6864.52%61.66%61.73%59.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.21%2.43cote équitable
EV -1.09%
Avantage -0.454%
Kelly -0.778%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.39%41.13%41.25%42.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.222.322.322.4045.05%43.08%43.10%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atlanta Braves (Local) : 58.79% ; Washington Nationals (Visiteur) : 41.21%. Pour Washington Nationals (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.43. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.40, pour une espérance de -1.09% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.24%E -0.737%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-30 15:29
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.83%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.33%E -0.981%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-30 22:05
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -1.83%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -3.56%E -1.52%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-30 23:05
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.91%E -0.804%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.33%E -0.981%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-30 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.33%E -0.981%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-30 23:09
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.91%E -0.804%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-30 20:59
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.33%E -0.981%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-30 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-30 20:40
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-30 20:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-30 20:10
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 14:35
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 18:34
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 15:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 22:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.97%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-30 20:20
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -6.45%E -2.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 14:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-30 19:14
Bovada🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.97%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.97%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 20:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.97%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.03%E -2.65%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 23:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.03%E -2.65%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 15:24
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.45%E -2.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 18:35
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.45%E -2.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 18:34
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 23:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 23:13
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 20:24
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 23:14
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.56%E -1.52%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 20:14
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 20:10
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 20:10
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 20:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 20:10
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 20:10
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 23:10
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 20:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 20:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 20:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 20:20
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 16:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 21:28
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 20:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 23:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:10
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:10
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.09%E -0.454%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 23:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.09%E -0.454%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 23:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 20:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 20:15
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 23:15
Bet Right🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.53%E -4.11%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.09%E -0.454%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 22:40
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.53%E -4.11%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.09%E -0.454%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 23:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -6.53%E -4.11%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -8.51%E -3.83%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 22:48
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 23:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.29%E -5.32%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.09%E -0.454%K -0.778%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 23:14
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.29%E -5.32%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -8.10%E -3.63%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-30 20:10
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.88%E -5.73%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 23:05
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.88%E -5.73%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 23:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎1.67I 59.88%NM 60.43%2.55I 39.22%NM 39.57%-0.9%2026-07-30 23:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-07-30 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-07-30 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-07-30 23:15
Novig◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-07-30 22:15
ProphetX◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-07-30 23:10
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-30 23:15
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-30 23:10
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-07-30 23:15
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-07-30 21:10