Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves v Washington Nationals

2026-07-30 23:16 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Predicción 57.20%1.75momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -3.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.14%57.19%57.18%58.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.671.671.7162.50%59.92%59.88%58.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Predicción 42.80%2.34momio equitativo
EV -0.270%
Ventaja -0.116%
Kelly -0.203%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.77%42.81%42.82%43.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.232.232.3348.78%44.94%44.84%42.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.19%E -1.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.98%E -0.865%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-29 23:00
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 19:00
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 22:24
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -6.26%E -2.86%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 19:10
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.270%E -0.116%K -0.203%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-30 00:10
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.13%E -0.487%K -0.859%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-29 22:55
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.13%E -0.487%K -0.859%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-30 00:00
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.13%E -0.487%K -0.859%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-30 00:00
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.55%E -0.676%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-30 00:05
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-30 01:19
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-30 02:00
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 22:55
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.12%E -1.84%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 21:44
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 02:19
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 00:20
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.69%E -3.07%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 00:00
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.69%E -3.07%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 00:00
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.97%E -3.71%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 19:00
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.55%E -0.676%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-30 00:00
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 23:25
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 00:20
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 00:25
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 00:25
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 00:25
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 00:25
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 00:25
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -4.12%E -1.84%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 01:09
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.98%E -2.24%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 21:45
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.98%E -2.24%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 02:19
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:15
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 19:10
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 22:55
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 19:10
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 19:10
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 19:49
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 02:19
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.97%E -3.71%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 19:00
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:25
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:25
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:25
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:25
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:25
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 00:25
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 00:25
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 00:25
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 02:20
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.98%E -2.24%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 22:50
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 21:45
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -6.26%E -2.86%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 21:45
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.55%E -0.676%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 01:20
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 02:15
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 21:45
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 21:10
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 00:59
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.34%E -4.53%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -10.11%E -4.82%K -9.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-29 23:20
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -8.48%E -5.30%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -7.55%E -3.49%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-30 00:25
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -8.48%E -5.30%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -12.25%E -5.98%K -11.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-29 21:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 58.25%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.75%-0.2%2026-07-30 01:25
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-29 21:25
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-30 01:45
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.67%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.33%1.4%2026-07-30 01:30
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.9%2026-07-30 01:35
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%2.6%2026-07-30 01:50
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%7.4%2026-07-30 02:50