Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves v Washington Nationals

2026-08-02 17:36 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prediction 53.18%1.88fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.585%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.60%53.21%53.25%53.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.791.801.8657.80%55.75%55.56%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Nationals (Visit)

Prediction 46.82%2.14fair odd
EV -0.739%
Edge -0.349%
Kelly -0.660%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%46.79%46.75%47.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.032.022.1251.28%49.29%49.50%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atlanta Braves (Local): 53.18%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 46.82%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.12, with an expected value of -0.739%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -1.09%E -0.585%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -2.61%E -1.26%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-01 18:10
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.09%E -0.585%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.08%E -1.49%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 18:23
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.21%E -1.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.739%E -0.349%K -0.660%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 18:29
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.21%E -1.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.21%E -0.572%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 18:09
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.21%E -1.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.21%E -0.572%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 18:10
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.21%E -1.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.42%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 18:15
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.95%E -2.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 21:04
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 20:45
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 18:44
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 20:00
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 20:44
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:29
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.42%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 20:44
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.42%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:29
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.42%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.42%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:30
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 18:09
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 18:09
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 18:15
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 18:15
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 18:15
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 18:15
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 18:39
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.81%E -2.69%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.48%E -2.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 20:45
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.81%E -2.69%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.42%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 21:28
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.81%E -2.69%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.42%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 21:28
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.34%E -3.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -5.89%E -2.93%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:50
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.34%E -3.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 20:44
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.87%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 21:34
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.87%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 21:29
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.87%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-01 20:45
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 21:39
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 20:48
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 20:45
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -8.23%E -4.20%K -8.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 20:49
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.00%E -4.62%K -10.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 20:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%0.1%2026-08-01 21:20
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-01 21:45
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-08-01 21:25
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%10.0%2026-08-01 20:45