Language:English
Atlanta Braves v Washington Nationals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Braves (Local)
Prediction 54.21%1.84fair odd
EV -0.796%
Edge -0.435%
Kelly -0.959%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.21%54.26%56.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.761.771.8358.48%56.66%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visit)
Prediction 45.79%2.18fair odd
EV +2.11%
Edge +0.947%
Kelly +1.72%
Growth +0.036%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.97%45.79%45.74%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.082.082.2350.76%48.01%48.08%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 54.21%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 45.79%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV +2.11%E +0.947%K +1.72%G +0.036% | 2.0% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%EV -2.96%E -1.66%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%EV -0.177%E -0.081%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-02 16:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.96%E -1.66%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.635%E -0.293%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.635%E -0.293%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-02 17:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.55%E -0.721%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-02 16:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.55%E -0.721%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-02 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.96%E -1.66%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.55%E -0.721%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.96%E -1.66%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.55%E -0.721%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.55%E -0.721%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.55%E -0.721%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-02 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.55%E -0.721%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.796%E -0.435%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-02 17:08 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.38%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-02 16:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.38%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 16:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -1.88%E -1.04%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-02 17:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -1.88%E -1.04%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-02 17:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 16:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 16:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 16:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.76%E -2.29%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.59%E -2.61%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.76%E -2.29%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.59%E -2.61%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.76%E -2.29%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 17:33 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.96%E -1.66%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.21%E -2.52%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 17:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.96%E -1.66%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.21%E -2.52%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 17:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.67%E -2.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 17:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.67%E -2.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 17:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.67%E -2.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 17:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.67%E -2.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 17:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.67%E -2.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 17:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.67%E -2.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 17:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.59%E -2.61%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 21:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 16:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.59%E -3.23%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 16:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.59%E -2.61%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 16:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 17:33 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -7.30%E -4.27%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -9.79%E -4.97%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 17:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 16:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 16:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59% | 1.5% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32% | 2.2% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32% | 2.2% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
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