Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlanta Braves v Washington Nationals

2026-08-02 17:36 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prévision 53.43%1.87cote équitable
EV -0.611%
Avantage -0.329%
Kelly -0.711%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%53.53%53.37%55.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.661.771.771.8660.24%56.37%56.50%53.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.57%2.15cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.605%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.62%46.47%46.63%47.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.962.062.052.1251.02%48.57%48.78%47.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Atlanta Braves (Local) : 53.43% ; Washington Nationals (Visiteur) : 46.57%. Pour Atlanta Braves (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.87. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.86, pour une espérance de -0.611% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -0.611%E -0.329%K -0.711%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.61%E -1.74%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 18:23
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.21%E -1.21%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 23:05
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.21%E -1.21%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 22:35
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.75%E -1.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.28%E -0.605%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 18:29
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.75%E -1.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.75%E -0.828%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 18:09
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.75%E -1.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.75%E -0.828%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 18:10
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -3.28%E -1.81%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.17%EV -1.75%E -0.828%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-01 22:35
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.54%E -2.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 20:45
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.54%E -2.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 18:44
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.54%E -2.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 20:44
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.54%E -2.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.54%E -2.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:29
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.54%E -2.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 23:04
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.94%E -2.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:29
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.94%E -2.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.94%E -2.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:30
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 18:09
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 18:39
Bovada1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.35%E -2.43%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.08%E -1.98%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:04
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.35%E -2.43%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.94%E -2.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 21:28
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.35%E -2.43%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.94%E -2.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 21:28
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.89%E -2.74%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.54%E -2.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 23:14
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.89%E -2.74%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 23:09
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.89%E -2.74%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 20:44
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.42%E -3.06%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 22:45
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.42%E -3.06%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.54%E -2.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 21:34
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.42%E -3.06%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.94%E -2.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 23:12
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.42%E -3.06%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-01 20:45
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.95%E -3.38%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.95%E -3.38%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.95%E -3.38%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.95%E -3.38%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.95%E -3.38%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.95%E -3.38%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:04
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.95%E -3.38%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.95%E -3.38%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.95%E -3.38%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.95%E -3.38%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:05
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.95%E -3.38%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.54%E -2.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 23:04
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.95%E -3.38%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.54%E -2.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 23:14
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.54%E -2.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 23:04
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.54%E -2.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 21:39
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.54%E -2.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 23:05
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.54%E -2.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 23:05
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 20:48
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 20:45
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -7.02%E -4.04%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -8.73%E -4.46%K -9.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 20:49
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -7.56%E -4.37%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -8.73%E -4.46%K -9.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 23:09
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.09%E -4.70%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 23:05
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.09%E -4.70%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 23:05
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.09%E -4.70%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 23:05
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -11.30%E -6.81%K -17.12%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -4.08%E -1.98%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 23:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%-0.0%2026-08-01 22:30
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-01 21:45
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-01 23:10
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.6%2026-08-01 23:10
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.2%2026-08-01 22:30
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 53.15%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%10.0%2026-08-01 23:10