Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves v Washington Nationals

Início: 2026-08-02 17:36 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 4–2 Washington Nationals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Previsão 54.21%1.84odd justa
EV -0.796%
Vantagem -0.435%
Kelly -0.959%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%54.21%54.26%56.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.711.761.771.8358.48%56.66%56.50%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Previsão 45.79%2.18odd justa
EV +2.11%
Vantagem +0.947%
Kelly +1.72%
Crescimento +0.036%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.97%45.79%45.74%47.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.972.082.082.2350.76%48.01%48.08%44.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Atlanta Braves (Local): 54.21%; Washington Nationals (Visitante): 45.79%. Para Washington Nationals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.18. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.23, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.11%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV +2.11%E +0.947%K +1.72%G +0.036%2.0%2026-08-02 17:30
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%EV -2.96%E -1.66%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%EV -0.177%E -0.081%K -0.150%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-02 16:10
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.96%E -1.66%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.635%E -0.293%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-02 17:29
BetUS🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.635%E -0.293%K -0.543%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 17:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.55%E -0.721%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 16:14
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.55%E -0.721%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.96%E -1.66%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.55%E -0.721%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 17:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.96%E -1.66%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.55%E -0.721%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 17:29
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.55%E -0.721%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 17:15
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.55%E -0.721%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-02 17:20
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.55%E -0.721%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 17:29
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.796%E -0.435%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-02 17:08
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:34
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:34
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.38%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 16:14
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.38%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 16:09
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -1.88%E -1.04%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -1.88%E -1.04%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 17:19
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 17:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 16:14
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 16:15
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 17:29
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 16:10
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 17:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 17:35
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.76%E -2.29%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 17:34
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.59%E -2.61%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.76%E -2.29%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 17:34
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.59%E -2.61%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.76%E -2.29%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 17:33
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.96%E -1.66%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.21%E -2.52%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 17:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.96%E -1.66%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.21%E -2.52%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.67%E -2.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 17:19
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.67%E -2.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 17:19
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.67%E -2.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 17:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.67%E -2.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 17:19
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.67%E -2.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 17:19
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.67%E -2.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 17:20
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:14
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:15
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.59%E -2.61%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 17:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 21:39
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 17:34
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 16:10
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.22%E -3.59%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 17:34
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.59%E -3.23%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 17:34
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 17:35
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 16:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.59%E -2.61%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 16:14
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 17:29
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 17:33
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -7.30%E -4.27%K -10.28%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -9.79%E -4.97%K -10.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 17:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-08-02 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-08-02 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-08-02 17:30
BetOpenly◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-08-02 17:30
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-02 17:35
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-02 16:24
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-02 16:15
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-08-02 17:35
Smarkets◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-08-02 17:30
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-08-02 17:35