Language:English
Atlanta Braves v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Braves (Local)
Prediction 60.03%1.67fair odd
EV +7.46%
Edge +4.17%
Kelly +9.44%
Growth +0.705%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%59.21%60.10%62.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.601.571.7966.67%62.58%63.69%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 39.97%2.50fair odd
EV +3.91%
Edge +1.50%
Kelly +2.44%
Growth +0.096%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.01%40.79%39.90%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.302.302.6048.78%43.42%43.48%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 60.03%; New York Mets (Visit): 39.97%. For Atlanta Braves (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV +7.46%E +4.17%K +9.44%G +0.705% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -14.07%E -6.55%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-11 20:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV +7.46%E +4.17%K +9.44%G +0.705% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -14.47%E -6.76%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 20:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV +7.46%E +4.17%K +9.44%G +0.705% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -14.47%E -6.76%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 20:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +6.26%E +3.54%K +8.13%G +0.509% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -18.07%E -8.81%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 21:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +6.26%E +3.54%K +8.13%G +0.509% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -18.07%E -8.81%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 21:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +5.06%E +2.89%K +6.75%G +0.341% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -16.07%E -7.65%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +5.06%E +2.89%K +6.75%G +0.341% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -16.07%E -7.65%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 21:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +5.06%E +2.89%K +6.75%G +0.341% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -16.07%E -7.65%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 21:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV +3.86%E +2.23%K +5.29%G +0.204% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -18.07%E -8.81%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV +2.06%E +1.21%K +2.94%G +0.060% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -18.07%E -8.81%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -0.944%E -0.572%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -14.07%E -6.55%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 23:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.74%E -1.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 23:38 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -14.07%E -6.55%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -14.07%E -6.55%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -2.48%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.15%E -3.26%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.61%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.39%EV +0.714%E +0.283%K +0.470%G +0.003% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 23:38 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -8.48%E -3.70%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.88%E -3.89%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.88%E -3.89%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV +3.91%E +1.50%K +2.44%G +0.096% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.88%E -3.89%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.88%E -3.89%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -6.95%E -4.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -6.48%E -2.77%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.95%E -4.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 23:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.95%E -4.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 23:38 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.55%E -4.90%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -0.884%E -0.357%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.55%E -4.90%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -0.884%E -0.357%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -7.55%E -4.90%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -2.08%E -0.850%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.55%E -4.90%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.08%E -0.850%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.08%E -0.850%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -8.75%E -5.76%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -9.35%E -6.19%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV +2.71%E +1.06%K +1.73%G +0.047% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.95%E -6.63%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.085%E -0.034%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.95%E -6.63%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.085%E -0.034%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.95%E -6.63%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.3% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88% | 1.6% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51% | 2.1% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.30% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70% | 11.5% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |