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Atlanta Braves v New York Mets
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlanta Braves (Local)
Predicción 60.03%1.67momio equitativo
EV +7.46%
Ventaja +4.17%
Kelly +9.44%
Crecimiento +0.705%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.66%59.21%60.10%62.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.601.571.7966.67%62.58%63.69%55.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
New York Mets (Visitante)
Predicción 39.97%2.50momio equitativo
EV +3.91%
Ventaja +1.50%
Kelly +2.44%
Crecimiento +0.096%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.01%40.79%39.90%46.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.302.302.6048.78%43.42%43.48%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Atlanta Braves (Local): 60.03%; New York Mets (Visitante): 39.97%. Para Atlanta Braves (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.67. 10 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.79, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.46%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV +7.46%E +4.17%K +9.44%G +0.705% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -14.07%E -6.55%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-11 20:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV +7.46%E +4.17%K +9.44%G +0.705% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -14.47%E -6.76%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 20:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV +7.46%E +4.17%K +9.44%G +0.705% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -14.47%E -6.76%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 20:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +6.26%E +3.54%K +8.13%G +0.509% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -18.07%E -8.81%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 21:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +6.26%E +3.54%K +8.13%G +0.509% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -18.07%E -8.81%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 21:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +5.06%E +2.89%K +6.75%G +0.341% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -16.07%E -7.65%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +5.06%E +2.89%K +6.75%G +0.341% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -16.07%E -7.65%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 21:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +5.06%E +2.89%K +6.75%G +0.341% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -16.07%E -7.65%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 21:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV +3.86%E +2.23%K +5.29%G +0.204% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -18.07%E -8.81%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV +2.06%E +1.21%K +2.94%G +0.060% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -18.07%E -8.81%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -0.944%E -0.572%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -14.07%E -6.55%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 23:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.74%E -1.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 23:38 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -14.07%E -6.55%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -14.07%E -6.55%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -2.48%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.15%E -3.26%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.61%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.39%EV +0.714%E +0.283%K +0.470%G +0.003% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 23:38 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -8.48%E -3.70%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.88%E -3.89%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.88%E -3.89%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV +3.91%E +1.50%K +2.44%G +0.096% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.88%E -3.89%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.88%E -3.89%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -6.95%E -4.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -6.48%E -2.77%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.95%E -4.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 23:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.95%E -4.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 23:38 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.55%E -4.90%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -0.884%E -0.357%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.55%E -4.90%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -0.884%E -0.357%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -7.55%E -4.90%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -2.08%E -0.850%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.55%E -4.90%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.08%E -0.850%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.08%E -0.850%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -8.75%E -5.76%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -9.35%E -6.19%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV +2.71%E +1.06%K +1.73%G +0.047% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.95%E -6.63%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.085%E -0.034%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.95%E -6.63%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.085%E -0.034%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.95%E -6.63%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.3% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88% | 1.6% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51% | 2.1% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.30% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70% | 11.5% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |