預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Atlanta Braves v New York Mets

開賽時間: 2026-08-11 23:45 UTC

最終賽果: Atlanta Braves 4–0 New York Mets

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

53 家博彩公司 (20 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Atlanta Braves (主隊)

預測 60.03%1.67公平賠率
EV +7.46%
優勢 +4.17%
Kelly +9.44%
成長率 +0.705%

假設最高賠率為 1.79

博彩公司預測分布
53.66%59.21%60.10%62.99%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.501.601.571.7966.67%62.58%63.69%55.87%最小值平均值中位數最大值

New York Mets (客隊)

預測 39.97%2.50公平賠率
EV +3.91%
優勢 +1.50%
Kelly +2.44%
成長率 +0.096%

假設最高賠率為 2.60

博彩公司預測分布
37.01%40.79%39.90%46.34%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.052.302.302.6048.78%43.42%43.48%38.46%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Atlanta Braves (主隊):60.03%;New York Mets (客隊):39.97%。 對於「Atlanta Braves (主隊)」,該估計相當於1.67的公平十進位賠率。 當時有10家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為1.79,對應+7.46%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (53 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV +7.46%E +4.17%K +9.44%G +0.705%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -14.07%E -6.55%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-11 20:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV +7.46%E +4.17%K +9.44%G +0.705%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -14.47%E -6.76%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-11 20:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV +7.46%E +4.17%K +9.44%G +0.705%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -14.47%E -6.76%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-11 20:14
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +6.26%E +3.54%K +8.13%G +0.509%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -18.07%E -8.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 21:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +6.26%E +3.54%K +8.13%G +0.509%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -18.07%E -8.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 21:15
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +5.06%E +2.89%K +6.75%G +0.341%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -16.07%E -7.65%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +5.06%E +2.89%K +6.75%G +0.341%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -16.07%E -7.65%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 21:14
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +5.06%E +2.89%K +6.75%G +0.341%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -16.07%E -7.65%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 21:15
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV +3.86%E +2.23%K +5.29%G +0.204%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -18.07%E -8.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV +2.06%E +1.21%K +2.94%G +0.060%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -18.07%E -8.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 23:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -0.944%E -0.572%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -14.07%E -6.55%K -12.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 23:34
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.74%E -1.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 23:38
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -14.07%E -6.55%K -12.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-11 23:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -14.07%E -6.55%K -12.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-11 23:39
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 23:39
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-11 23:39
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -2.48%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.15%E -3.26%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 23:39
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.61%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.39%EV +0.714%E +0.283%K +0.470%G +0.003%3.4%2026-08-11 23:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 23:39
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 23:38
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 23:39
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 23:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 23:39
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 23:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 23:39
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 23:39
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 23:39
Betsson🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -8.48%E -3.70%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-11 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.88%E -3.89%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.88%E -3.89%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 23:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-11 23:39
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV +3.91%E +1.50%K +2.44%G +0.096%2.6%2026-08-11 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 23:39
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 23:39
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.88%E -3.89%K -6.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 23:39
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.88%E -3.89%K -6.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 23:39
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -6.95%E -4.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -6.48%E -2.77%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 23:39
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.95%E -4.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 23:38
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.95%E -4.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 23:38
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.55%E -4.90%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -0.884%E -0.357%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.55%E -4.90%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -0.884%E -0.357%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 23:40
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -7.55%E -4.90%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -2.08%E -0.850%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.55%E -4.90%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-11 23:39
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.08%E -0.850%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 23:40
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.08%E -0.850%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 23:39
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:39
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -8.75%E -5.76%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-11 23:39
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -9.35%E -6.19%K -18.33%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV +2.71%E +1.06%K +1.73%G +0.047%5.1%2026-08-11 23:39
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.95%E -6.63%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.085%E -0.034%K -0.057%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 23:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.95%E -6.63%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.085%E -0.034%K -0.057%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.95%E -6.63%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-11 23:39
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
ProphetX◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-08-11 23:35
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-11 23:40
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-11 23:40
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.3%2026-08-11 23:40
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.6%2026-08-11 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-08-11 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-08-11 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%2.1%2026-08-11 23:40
Matchbook◎1.44I 69.44%NM 62.30%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%11.5%2026-08-11 23:40